Maverick Maniac's Musings

February 2, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Women’s Basketball – Game #22 Preview – Oakland

Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Women's Basketball — Jon Green @ 11:57 am

Omaha Women's Basketball Preview - Oakland - 2-2-13

Live Stats
Live Video ($6? Definitely behind a pay wall)
Live Audio (1180 AM – Robert Ford)

Omaha hit one of their low points this season in a loss at Fort Wayne on Thursday. The Mavericks started 3-1 in the Summit League and with a sweep this weekend would have been much harder to catch for 4th place. Instead they were knocked off by a Fort Wayne team on Thursday night and now find themselves tied with the Mastodons and Kansas City at 4-5. Suddenly this game at Oakland looks even more important and more difficult.

Omaha’s just not doing some things well in conference. Namely, offense. The Mavericks have been good enough in most games defensively but their offense hasn’t been able to rise to the occasion a lot of times and they’ve lost games. Oakland was a team they beat pretty easily in Omaha, but don’t look for a blowout today.

Oakland
The first time these teams met the game was close for the first half before Omaha ran away with the game in the 2nd half. It was a strong defensive performance by Omaha but the offense really heated up for twenty minutes to get the 59-41 win. Omaha turned it over 11 times in the first half in that game which is a warning sign for today’s game and Omaha’s handling of the ball.

Since then Oakland has not had much success, losing four of their five games. The one was an impressive nine point win at Kansas City and they could have won at home to North Dakota State and at Fort Wayne, losing both games in the final seconds. This team is not as bad as 2-6 indicates.

This is a young team who boasts two freshman and a sophomore in the starting lineup. Freshman guard Elena Popkey is averaging 11.4 points and 5.2 rebounds and is a big threat from deep where she shoots 43%. Freshman forward Olivia Nash averages 11.3 points and 8.4 rebounds. She can score inside of course but also likes to play outside and has taken 49 threes in 14 games (hitting 33% of them).

None of the Golden Grizzlies are extremely explosive scorers. Nash’s season high was 16 while Popkey has gone for 22 and 20, but hasn’t topped 15 in the last six games. This should be a fairly low scoring game that Omaha can win with a good offensive performance.

Omaha is going to look to their senior leaders and ask them to carry the team, but it’s also up to the role players to do their part. Ericka House has to be a weapon off the bench. Stacia Gebers/Casse Vaughn can’t combine for two points and one rebound (unless Kelly is going to go for 15 rebounds and eight points… then it’s okay). Omaha just needs someone to step up. Too often they need big games out of all three of their stars and if any of them are having a bad night the Mavericks are going to struggle.

Top Five Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
102 – American (70-60)
162 – IUPUI (68-59)
241 – @ Canisius (52-51)
259 – George Mason (62-58)
274 – Western Michigan (73-70)

Worst Five Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
321 – @ Manhattan (43-47)
294 – @ Fort Wayne (55-57)
277 – Buffalo (59-61)
267 – North Dakota State (59-60)
250 – @ Omaha (41-59)

Couple of pretty good wins at home and when you notice that Omaha is in their worst five losses you do realize they aren’t all that bad and their record is partially a result of a tough schedule.

Omaha vs. Oakland

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 38.2% 34.1% 72.6% 0.834 0.848 24.3 0.658 51.3% 38.0% 30.3% 15.1 52.8% 32.9% 70.9% 2.7
Oakland 39.3% 26.9% 67.4% 0.822 0.886 22.8 0.943 66.3% 40.5% 34.7% 22.0 48.8% 27.8% 68.8% 3.6
Favors.. Oakland Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Oakland Oakland Oakland Omaha Omaha Oakland Omaha Omaha Omaha Oakland

Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League. Bold indicates the better team in each category. Conference only statistics.

Neither team has been great on offense in the Summit League. Oakland shooting better and not turning it over as much, Omaha a bit better outside and an on free throws. Defensively Omaha is better though Oakland forces more turnovers and blocks more shots. Omaha is the better rebounding team.

Starters
Oakland
Guard – Elena Popkey – 5-5 – Freshman – Averaging 11.5 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.8 assists.
Guard – Victoria Lipscomb – 5-7 – Junior – Averaging 7.6 points, 4.9 rebounds, 3.4 assists, and 2.2 steals.
Guard – Peyton Aspey – 5-9 – Sophomore – Averaging 2.4 points and 2.6 rebounds.
Guard/Forward – Elizabeth Hamlet – 5-11 – Junior – Averaging 7.4 points and 2.0 rebounds.
Forward – Olivia Nash – 6-1 – Freshman – Averaging 11.3 points and 8.4 rebounds.

Omaha
Point Guard – Jamie Nash – 5-4 – Senior – Averaging 10.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, 7.0 assists, and 3.4 steals.
Guard – Carly Cator – 5-9 – Senior – Averaging 2.2 points and 3.1 rebounds.
Guard – Paige Frauendorfer – 6-0 – Senior – Averaging 14.0 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 1.8 steals.
Guard – Carolyn Blair-Mobley – 5-10 – Senior – Averaging 11.8 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 2.4 assists.
Center – Taijhe Kelly – 6-4 – Sophomore – Averaging 4.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.8 blocks.

Three Things to Watch
1) Depth – Is Omaha wearing down at all because of the heavy minutes the players are getting? Who knows but regardless of the heavy minutes Omaha is not a deep team and is in a situation where they desperately need more players to step up. Casse Vaughn has shown the ability to score in great rates but is deep in the dog house right now. Ericka House loves to shoot the three but hasn’t been hitting many lately (12-43 in 2013). Someone needs to help the starters out. The players need to focus on making the most of every opportunity because most of them aren’t getting a lot of chances and aren’t doing much when they do.

2.) The Frauendorfer/Blair-Mobley duo – Combined average in losses – 22.3. Combined average in wins – 27.6. Average margin of defeat (minus the awful Western Illinois game) is 6.8. Omaha needs both to have good games. They are the two main weapons and if one of them is off unless the other plays incredible it’s usually not enough. Paige has scored in single digits five times. Two were non D-1 games (lots of bench play) and the other three Omaha lost. Omaha has only lost one game this year when they both scored in double digits, the South Dakota State game.

3.) Play to their potential – Omaha should be a better team than Oakland. They have senior leadership and they’ve shown that talent in a lot of games this year. Omaha knows they can and should win this game. It’s time to come out and play like it and look like the better team and not looking shaky from the start. Be on the front foot and be aggressive. Take the game to Oakland.

Prediction
Think it’s been a tough couple days for the Mavericks as they get ready for this one. Imagine it’ll be an inspired performance and that Omaha is going to answer some questions. I’ll take Omaha 64-47.

Massey – Omaha wins 58-54
RealTimeRPI – Oakland wins 62-59

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January 31, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Men’s Basketball – Game #24 Preview – Fort Wayne

Filed under: Men's Basketball,Omaha Mavericks,Previews — Jon Green @ 1:00 pm

Omaha Men's Basketball Preview - Fort Wayne - 1-31-13

Live Stats
Live Video ($8… no audio)
Live Audio (Fort Wayne feed… free?)

Omaha had their best weekend as a Division 1 team winning at South Dakota and Kansas City to get to 4-6 in the Summit League. The Mavericks now return home to host Fort Wayne. The Mavericks have lost all three meetings before the two sides in the last two years but with the way they are playing this they might even be the favorite.

Fort Wayne
The last time these two sides met Omaha did some good things winning the battle in the paint 44-27 and winning bench points 25-9. Omaha got 24 from Justin Simmons and 20 from Marcus Tyus. It still wasn’t enough though as Fort Wayne shot 50% from the field and went 14-24 from three to get the 18 point win. The sides have gone in different directions since that game. Fort Wayne has lost four of six with the only wins a two point win over South Dakota at home (kind of impressive) and a one point win over IUPUI at home (not so impressive). Omaha has won three of their five with the only losses to Western Illinois at home by 15 (iffy) and by five at Cal State Bakersfield (not bad).

These sides both boast great scorers. Justin Simmons of Omaha is 5th in the Summit averaging 15.5 points per game while Frank Gaines of Fort Wayne is 3rd in the conference averaging 18.5 points per game. Gaines has averaged 17.7 over the last seven games while Simmons has averaged 20.4 over his last seven. Simmons has scored 20 or more points in five of his last eight games and had 24 against Fort Wayne the first time despite only taking one three and going 2-5 from the FT line. Frank Gaines had 25 against Omaha going 14-14 from the FT line and 4-5 from three.

Last year Omaha gave up 29 to Gaines in Fort Wayne (10 FTs and 2-5 from three) while only giving up seven in Omaha (2-6 on FTs, 1-4 on threes, only 25 minutes due to four fouls). The game in Fort Wayne this year also saw him pick up four fouls and he was limited to 24 minutes, a season low against D1 opposition. And he STILL scored 26.

In one aspect things look good for Omaha. They know what not to do (let Gaines take open threes and foul him while driving). If they get him in foul trouble and play better defense against him someone else will have to step up.

Of course in the first game this year Michael Kibiloski did by scoring 26 points on 8-11 shooting (5-7 from three). Mario Hines had 12 points and 12 rebounds too. Yikes. Just writing about this is getting me worried.

Yes Omaha seems to be playing better defense and better offense (though they were a pretty decent 1.03 ppp in the first matchup) but they need to actually do it again on Thursday night. Fort Wayne is a good sized and athletic team. Omaha will be challenged defensively and if they aren’t up for the challenge they’ll be in trouble.

Best Five Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
238 – South Dakota (62-60)
250 – Miami (Ohio) (57-56)
294 – Omaha (96-78)
296 – (Neutral) Texas Pan American (97-94)
304 – IUPUI (80-79)

Worst Five Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
318 – @ Navy (49-54)
304 – @ IUPUI (74-88)
295 – (Neutral) Eastern Illinois (67-68)
279 – Kansas City (59-63)
213 – @ Auburn (50-61)

Fort Wayne has played a decent amount of good teams but doesn’t have many great wins to show for it. Their best road win was at Dartmouth (306) and they have some bad road losses.

Omaha vs. Fort Wayne – Summit League Only Stats

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 48.7% 38.1% 66.7% 1.017 1.138 19.9 0.932 47.7% 49.9% 42.3% 18.0 45.8% 27.2% 62.5% 3.2
IPFW 43.6% 33.3% 65.0% 0.997 1.087 18.4 1.019 52.2% 51.6% 38.1% 19.0 53.0% 32.6% 72.6% 2.4
Favors.. Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha IPFW IPFW IPFW IPFW Omaha IPFW IPFW IPFW IPFW IPFW Omaha

Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League. Better team in bold

Omaha’s stronger on offense in the scoring categories but worse mostly on defense and rebounding. Also not as strong passing the ball.

Starters
Fort Wayne
Guard – Pierre Bland – 6-2 – Junior – Averaging 2.0 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 2.5 assists.
Guard – Frank Gaines – 6-3 – Senior – Averaging 18.5 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 1.5 steals.
Guard – Luis Jacobo – 6-5 – Junior – Averaging 10.7 points and 3.7 rebounds.
Forward – Mario Hines – 6-8 – Senior – Averaging 8.8 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 1.1 blocks.
Forward – Michael Kibiloski – 6-7 –Junior – Averaging 6.9 points and 4.1 rebounds.

Omaha
Point Guard – CJ Carter – 6-0 – Sophomore – Averaging 9.2 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists.
Guard – Alex Phillips – 6-3 – Junior – Averaging 8.6 points and 2.5 rebounds.
Guard – Justin Simmons – 6-3 – Junior – Averaging 15.5 points and 3.8 rebounds.
Forward – Alex Welhouse – 6-7 – Senior – Averaging 8.0 points and 4.7 rebounds.
Center – John Karhoff – 6-8 – Junior –  Averaging 12.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists.

Three Things to Watch
1) Frank Gaines vs. Justin Simmons – I’m not sure if these two will guard each other but it certainly seems possible. Regardless of if they are actually facing each other, they will go against each other in terms of scoring and offense. Both can go for 30 but both have also been slowed at times. Two great scorers to watch on Thursday night.

2.) Rebounds – In the first matchup Omaha only grabbed 37% of the available boards and only 52% of the available defensive rebounds. It was way too many 2nd chances for the Mastodons who were already shooting great. Omaha has got to grab some defensive rebounds if they want to get this game. Justin Simmons had six of Omaha’s 16 defensive rebounds in the first matchup so expect him to crash hard from the perimeter. Mario Hines and Michael Kibiloski had eight offensive rebounds combined inside so a lot of pressure is on John Karhoff and Alex Welhouse to box their men out and go get the ball.

3.) Bench – Fort Wayne has a few bench players that can bother Omaha. Joe Edwards averages 7.2 and Kevin Harden averages 6.2. Omaha did a great job against the bench in the first game giving up only nine points in 46 minutes. Omaha also got some big bench scoring with Marcus Tyus playing 27 minutes and scoring 20 points. If Omaha has a performance like that again that will certainly help. Omaha only had five points off the bench at Kansas City and that probably won’t be enough unless the Maverick defense really shows up.

Prediction
I can’t pick against the hot Mavericks. Great offense lately and coming home for a big home game they’re going to be fired up and excited. I’ll take Omaha 86-81.

Massey – Fort Wayne wins 76-75
RealTimeRPI – Omaha wins 76-68

2012-13 Omaha Women’s Basketball – Game #21 Preview – Fort Wayne

Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Women's Basketball — Jon Green @ 11:00 am

Omaha Women's Basketball Preview - Fort Wayne - 1-31-13

Live Stats
Live Video (Free? Seems to be at least…)
Live Audio (1180 AM – Robert Ford)

No one is going to be too upset about Omaha’s 10 point loss to South Dakota State on Saturday and thus the Mavericks should be in good spirits at the head to Fort Wayne for Thursday night’s game. Omaha was a 10 point winner over Fort Wayne in the matchup in Omaha, but the Mastodons led by one in the final minutes before an 11-0 run gave Omaha the win. Fort Wayne has also been good at home, this one won’t be a walk in the park for Omaha.

Fort Wayne
Since these teams last met the Mastodons have lost three of five but one of those three was a two point loss at home to South Dakota State, 66-64. The mastodons seem to be a different team at home where they are 3-2 in conference with the only losses to SDSU and IUPUI (79-74). One of those wins was a 80-49 win over Western Illinois.

Fort Wayne got a 57-55 win over Oakland last Saturday at home and has some talented players that can score. Three Mastodons have scored 20+ points in conference games so far this season, Amanda Hyde the leader amongst the group. Hyde had 20 points on 7-13 shooting against Omaha but was limited a bit by foul trouble which did eventually take her out of the game. Omaha had the advantage in every area of that game and held Fort Wayne to 34% shooting. Omaha was strong on the boards and only committed 11 turnovers while shooting 43%.

My recap of that game is available here. I was impressed by the Mastodons in that one and if they catch Omaha on a bad shooting night they could easily upset the Mavericks. Fort Wayne definitely has a top two scorers in Hyde and Erin Murphy. In Omaha they combined for 34 points (season average of 31) but Omaha did a great job of locking down the other players. Omaha also got eight points out of Casse Vaughn who has been noticeably quiet in the last few games.

The Mavericks should have the advantage inside again as Fort Wayne doesn’t have a starter over 5-10. If the Mavericks can get the ball into Taijhe Kelly and Stacia Gebers a lot they could build a nice advantage in the paint. Fort Wayne does have some taller players off the bench but they get around 76% of their minutes out of the five starters.

Top Five Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
247 – Western Illinois (80-49)
258 – Oakland (57-55)
264 – North Dakota State (65-58)
289 – @ Southern Illinois (78-65)
313 – Coastal Carolina (51-46)

Worst Five Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
277 – @ Kansas City (59-77)
250 – @ Ball State (46-53)
249 – @ Omaha (50-60)
217 – Valparaiso (73-82)
204 – SIU-Edwardsville (67-74)

Have been better at home than on the road but still not a hugely impressive resume. Haven’t lost a home game to a team with an RPI as low as Omaha yet.

Omaha vs. Fort Wayne

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 38.1% 32.5% 77.7% 0.838 0.845 24.1 0.656 50.9% 38.4% 31.1% 24.0 52.6% 33.3% 69.9% 2.8
IPFW 40.0% 33.0% 80.0% 0.933 0.981 20.3 0.844 55.1% 44.9% 36.4% 24.0 42.8% 25.6% 62.3% 0.9
Favors.. IPFW IPFW IPFW IPFW Omaha IPFW IPFW IPFW Omaha Omaha Tied Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha

Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League. Bold indicates the better team in each category. Conference only statistics.

Conference only statistics are decidedly not kind to the Mavericks. That noted, we see Fort Wayne being the stronger offensive team and Omaha the stronger defensive and rebounding team. Strength vs. Strength on Thursday. Fort Wayne is shooting 78.9% on FTs this season, 4th in the country.

Starters
Fort Wayne
Guard – Rachel Mauk – 5-10 – Junior – Averaging 5.3 points and 2.7 rebounds.
Guard – Stefanie Mauk – 5-10 – Junior – Averaging 7.8 points and 6.3 rebounds.
Guard – Haley Seibert – 5-5 – Sophomore – Averaging 8.9 points, 2.1 rebounds, and 3.0 assists.
Guard – Erin Murphy – 5-10 – Junior – Averaging 11.8 points and 2.3 rebounds.
Forward – Amanda Hyde – 5-7 – Junior – Averaging 18.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, 3.3 assists, and 1.8 steals.

Omaha
Point Guard – Jamie Nash – 5-4 – Senior – Averaging 10.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, 7.0 assists, and 3.4 steals.
Guard – Carly Cator – 5-9 – Senior – Averaging 2.2 points and 3.1 rebounds.
Guard – Paige Frauendorfer – 6-0 – Senior – Averaging 14.0 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 1.8 steals.
Guard – Carolyn Blair-Mobley – 5-10 – Senior – Averaging 11.8 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 2.4 assists.
Center – Taijhe Kelly – 6-4 – Sophomore – Averaging 4.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.8 blocks.

Three Things to Watch
1) Size Mismatch – Omaha has two starters at 6-0 or taller. Fort Wayne has none over 5-10. Taijhe Kelly will have a six inch advantage on any starter trying to guard her so expect Fort Wayne to try to deny entry passes to her. If Omaha can find a way to get her going that will help. She played just eight minutes and went 1-3 in the first game.

2.) Perimeter Shooters – All five starters can shoot the three for Fort Wayne with the worst being Rachel Mauk who is 28% from three. This means Omaha will have to do a good job of identifying shooters and getting out to the perimeter. Just as Omaha might see an advantage inside with Kelly, Fort Wayne might see it as an advantage to have her in there so they can stretch Omaha’s defense to the perimeter.

3.) Strength on the Glass – Omaha is a way better rebounding team than Fort Wayne. The Mavericks had a +4 advantage on the boards and if they can improve on that a bit that should help them in what should be a close game.

Prediction
I’ll take the Mavericks to win this one in a close game. 64-60. Omaha really needs to get a couple of road wins this weekend to set themselves up for a strong finish with four of their last six at home.

Massey – Omaha wins 63-57
RealTimeRPI – Fort Wayne wins 61-60

January 26, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Men’s Basketball – Game #23 Preview – Kansas City

Filed under: Men's Basketball,Omaha Mavericks,Previews — Jon Green @ 11:03 am

Omaha Men's Basketball Preview - Kansas City - 1-26-13

Live Stats
Live Video ($6)
Live Audio (Robert Ford – 1620 AM)

Coming off of probably the biggest win in the last two years at South Dakota the Mavericks are going to look for their first season sweep of the D1 era when they head to Kansas City. Not getting too full of themselves and staying composed will be key as Omaha is going to have heads held high after their success Thursday. This Kansas City team also won at South Dakota recently and have been improving. This is no gimme.

Kansas City
When Omaha last saw Kansas City they were in the midst of a nine game losing streak. The Kansas City that Omaha will see today is not quite the same. They’ve split their last four and really should have won on Tuesday. They even added a player midseason in Aaron Washington. It’s a team that’s been plagued by injuries this year but can be strong when they are healthy and in rhythm.

Kansas City has a balanced team with five role players averaging between 5.2 and 7.6. Their two main scorers are Estan Tyler (11.7 points) and Thomas Staton (11.2) and this isn’t a prolific offensive team, so if Omaha gets scoring like they have lately and play just a little defense they could win this. Kansas city also isn’t great defensively ranking 333rd in D-PPP.

A few things the ‘Roos do well… they are good FT shooting team at 72% and they do force 12.2 turnovers per game, a decent number in the Summit League. They also average 3.4 blocks per game. They do have a 6-10 center and a 6-7 forward in Kirk Korver who can shoot the three. Fortunately Welhouse will match up well against Korver and hopefully Karhoff inside can handle their center.

Kansas City led 50-39 against Houston Baptist with 13:59 left but blew that lead and gave up a few FTs in the final thirty seconds to lose 63-61. It was an ugly loss in a game they should have had. Nelson Kirksey led the team with 14 points but Fred Chatmon had 10 points and 17 rebounds inside. Karhoff be warned!

In that game back in Omaha the Mavericks were led by CJ Carter who had 26 points on 10-12 shooting. Alex Welhouse had a double-double with 10 and 10 while Justin Simmons had 20 points. It was the start of Omaha’s outstanding offensive performances. Thomas Staton had 23 points and seven rebounds for Kansa City who might have been closer if they’d been able to shoot better than 3-19 from deep.

Best Five Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
187 – (Neutral) Norfolk State (63-57)
214 – @ South Dakota (90-86)
285 – IUPUI (79-65)
292 – @ Fort Wayne (63-59)
295 – @ North Dakota (73-70)

Worst Five Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
332 – Houston Baptist (61-63)
318 – @ Omaha (65-77)
297 – Appalachian State (71-81)
267 – Utah Valley (66-78)
221 – SE Missouri State (65-66)

Not a very good resume. A couple of decent wins but a slew of not so good losses… Omaha prominent on that list and without a good resume either of course.

Omaha vs. Kansas City – Summit League Only Stats

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 48.8% 39.1% 65.8% 1.028 1.176 19.2 0.984 48.1% 50.9% 44.4% 17.0 46.1% 27.5% 62.9% 3.3
UMKC 47.3% 36.7% 72.0% 1.021 1.087 21.8 0.711 41.5% 48.6% 43.8% 18.0 50.4% 30.2% 70.5% 3.4
Favors.. Omaha Omaha UMKC Omaha UMKC Omaha Omaha Omaha UMKC UMKC UMKC UMKC UMKC UMKC UMKC

Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League. Better team in bold

Omaha’s the better offensive team, Kansas City a stronger defensive and rebounding team. The gap is wider on the defensive side though…

Starters
Kansas City
Guard – Aaron Washington – 6-1 – Junior – Averaging 3.3 points and 1.2 rebounds.
Guard – Estan Tyler – 6-1 – Sophomore – Averaging 11.7 points, 2.4 rebounds, 2 3FGs, and 3.3 assists.
Forward – Trinity Hall – 6-1 – Junior – Averaging 5.2 points and 2.9 rebounds.
Forward – Kirk Korver – 6-7 – Junior – Averaging 6.6 points and 2.9 rebounds.
Center – Fred Chatmon – 6-10 – Junior – Averaging 7.2 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks.

Omaha
Point Guard – CJ Carter – 6-0 – Sophomore – Averaging 9.1 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists.
Guard – Alex Phillips – 6-3 – Junior – Averaging 8.7 points and 2.4 rebounds.
Guard – Justin Simmons – 6-3 – Junior – Averaging 15.3 points and 3.7 rebounds.
Forward – Alex Welhouse – 6-7 – Senior – Averaging 8.0 points and 4.8 rebounds.
Center – John Karhoff – 6-8 – Junior -  Averaging 12.0 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

Three Things to Watch
1) Can we get some defense? – So Omaha’s defensive problems have been well documented here. Tonight would seem to be another good chance to put up a strong defensive performance… so what say you Omaha?

2.) Battle inside – While John Karhoff has had a strong year he does have a tough matchup inside today in Fred Chatmon. That will be an interesting battle to watch. Karhoff held him to just seven points and eight rebounds in Omaha so we’ll see if he can do that again.

3.) Let down game – Excellent opportunity for Omaha to let down after the big South Dakota win. We’ll see early on how Omaha comes out and if there’s any sign of a hangover from Thursday.

Prediction
Omaha’s playing really well offensively and just needs an adequate defensive performance to win this game. I’ll take them again tonight 81-74.

Massey – Kansas City wins 80-74
RealTimeRPI – Kansas City wins 81-69.

2012-13 Omaha Women’s Basketball – Game #20 Preview – South Dakota State

Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Women's Basketball — Jon Green @ 9:56 am

Omaha Women's Basketball Preview - South Dakota State - 1-26-13

Live Stats
Live Video ($8, but you do get to listen to me… )
Live Audio (South Dakota State Feed and I think it costs $12/month… yuck!)

Thursday night Omaha picked up a solid win over North Dakota State. The Mavericks never looked in much trouble and despite 23 turnovers did plenty right to get the win. That kind of performance might not be enough though today when South Dakota State comes to the Fieldhouse. The Jackrabbits are the best team Omaha will face this year and this could be a chance to get a massive win, perhaps the biggest in school history.

South Dakota State
South Dakota State is the class of the Summit League having won three straight regular season titles and four straight Summit League tournaments. Over the last two seasons they are now 22-3 in league play. They’ve played a very difficult schedule this year and have a few losses to show for it but also some impressive wins. While some teams could come to the Fieldhouse and feel like Omaha’s one of the tougher teams they’ve faced this year, South Dakota State won’t be feeling that way.

South Dakota State lost to IUPUI last Saturday which means Omaha is seeking to give them back-to-back losses. They did have back-to-back losses earlier this year (@ Central Michigan, Marquette) but they haven’t had back-to-back Summit League losses since January 2011 (Fort Wayne and Oakland). The Jackrabbits statistical profile is not as prolific as Omaha’s, but a lot of that is due to the schedule. In conference they are the top offensive and defensive team.

They are a good three point shooting team so Omaha will need to do a better job defending them out there than was necessary vs. North Dakota State. They’re good on defense and rebound well, especially on the defensive end. If there’s anything they struggle with it’s… FTs?

Their leading scorer is preseason All-Summit senior guard Ashley Eide who scores 14.4 per game and grabs four rebounds. Sophomore guard Megan Waytashek adds 13.8 and 4.5 rebounds. Definitely their two primary options. Several other players average between four and eight points.It’s definitely a deep team with no player averaging more than 30 minutes and eight players average at least 12.

Their head coach is Aaron Johnson with over 300 career wins and now the all-time leader in wins at the school after getting 302 against Oakland on January 10th.

While one game does not make a trend, and it will make South Dakota State fired up to play better today, the Jackrabbits were poor from the field last Saturday against IUPUI. They shot just 35% and went 3-23 from three. They were also not great on the defensive glass. Both of those are things you could see Omaha doing to them as well, along with committing 23 turnovers like IUPUI did.

Top Five Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
38 – @ Georgetown (64-58)
44 – Nebraska (60-55)
55 – Middle Tennessee State (63-56)
105 – @ Northern Iowa (61-49)
130 – (Neutral) Washington State – 130

Worst Five Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
135 – IUPUI (56-57)
63 – Marquette (74-77)
52 – @ Central Michigan (62-88)
26 – Creighton (54-63)
17 – (Neutral) Villanova (47-71)

Wow. Three top 100 wins including @ Georgetown!!! They have only one loss against a sub 100 team. Nice resume for a mid-major school.

Omaha vs. South Dakota State

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 42.0% 33.0% 70.3% 0.892 0.795 24.5 0.862 57.0% 35.5% 29.6% 24.0 53.7% 38.1% 68.0% 3.2
SDSU 40.8% 33.2% 70.0% 0.904 0.835 24.3 0.785 62.0% 39.1% 30.9% 24.0 51.9% 33.9% 71.8% 2.8
Favors.. Omaha SDSU Omaha SDSU Omaha SDSU Omaha SDSU Omaha Omaha Tied Omaha Omaha SDSU Omaha

Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League. Bold indicates the better team in each category.

Pretty even matchup. Both good shooting teams but Omaha’s a bit better from the field, SDSU from deep. Both good offensive teams but SDSU more prolific. Both teams struggle with turnovers though Omaha has a pretty good assist/turnover ratio still. SDSU just has a good assist/basket ratio.

Defensively both teams are strong with Omaha slightly better. On the glass Omaha is a great offensive rebounding team, SDSU is a great defensive rebounding team.

Starters
South Dakota State
Guard – Gabby Boever – 5-8 – Sophomore – Averaging 5.3 points, 3.1 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 2.2 steals.
Guard – Ashley Eide – 5-9 – Senior – Averaging 14.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 2.2 assists.
Forward – Leah Dietel – 6-1 – Senior – Averaging 6.3 points and 5.7 rebounds.
Forward – Hannah Strop – 6-0 – Junior – Averaging 3.5 points and 3.6 rebounds.
Forward – Megan Waytashek – 6-0 – Sophomore – Averaging 13.8 points and 4.5 rebounds.

Omaha
Point Guard – Jamie Nash – 5-4 – Senior – Averaging 9.8 points, 3.8 rebounds, 7.3 assists, and 3.4 steals.
Guard – Carly Cator – 5-9 – Senior – Averaging 2.3 points and 3.2 rebounds.
Guard – Paige Frauendorfer – 6-0 – Senior – Averaging 13.9 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 1.6 steals.
Guard – Carolyn Blair-Mobley – 5-10 – Senior – Averaging 11.6 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 2.3 assists.
Center – Taijhe Kelly – 6-4 – Sophomore – Averaging 4.4 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.9 blocks.

Three Things to Watch
1) Clean With the Ball – Omaha has been sloppy with the ball in a number of games lately. Turned it over on 33.7% of possessions against Chicago State and 32.5% against North Dakota State. Yuck. There have been some good performances but only four in the 17.1-19.9 range… and those are their best four! South Dakota State is 2nd in turnovers forced in league play so they will be looking to make Omaha rack up that turnover total. Omaha’s a very efficient team… when they get a shot.

2.) Perimeter Battle – Both teams can shoot the long ball, South Dakota State a little better. Omaha’s been cold a lot lately though they finally heated up against North Dakota State. Having a big shooting day from three, taking a lot of them, and not letting South Dakota State run rampage would be a huge bonus.

3.) Strengths on the Glass – Omaha is a strong offensive rebounding team, South Dakota State is a strong defensive rebounding team. We’ll see which side wins out but if Omaha is going to turn it over a lot they really need to offensive rebound well or shoot amazing.

Prediction
While I’d love to see Omaha win I’m not so sure. I think this will be close but I’d lean towards South Dakota State by something like 63-58.

Massey – South Dakota State wins 63-54
RealTimeRPI – Omaha wins 67-62.

January 24, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Women’s Basketball – Game #17 Preview – North Dakota State

Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Women's Basketball — Jon Green @ 2:05 pm

Omaha Women's Basketball Preview North Dakota State - 1-24-13

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Omaha got back to the winning last week when they beat Chicago State and Indiana Dabney. It was a week which hopefully let them get their shooting going again and got some bench players extra minute. Now it’s back to the grind of the Summit League schedule. Omaha will need a strong finish to stay in contention for the postseason. It starts tonight with North Dakota State. Statistically and record wise it may look fairly easy but IUPUI learned the hard way last week not to overlook this Bison team.

North Dakota State
As mentioned earlier North Dakota State knocked off IUPUI last week. That alone should have Omaha’s attention. They’ve had some up and down games but have been better in the last few weeks capped off by the win against IUPUI. Saturday they got down big against Western Illinois but came roaring back to get within a few points, losing 85-83.

This is a team playing better offensively since conference play started. They’re shooting better and turning it over less. Of course they’ve made up for that by forcing less turnovers and allowing their opponents to shoot better… So it hasn’t really helped them overall.

North Dakota State is a good defensive rebounding team which is sort of worrying since Omaha is definitely helped by their offensive rebounding in most games. Omaha will need to hit their shots today since they probably won’t be able to rely on the extra chances.

North Dakota State is led by Katie Birkel, a senior from Lincoln, who is averaging 13.2 points. Birkel has scored over 20 in two of the last three games. Danielle DeGagne is the other player to average double figures with 12.3 per game. She’s also grabbing 6.6 rebounds. They don’t have a great three point shooter, the best was Hannah Linz but she had a recurrence of Hodgkin’s Lymphoma so she’s no longer playing. Now their best three point shooter is probably Jamie Van Kirk at 28.1%. Omaha needs to force North Dakota State to make some threes today.

These two schools used to be regular opponents in the NCC days but haven’t met since 2004. North Dakota State won the last game 94-69 on February 21, 2004. Omaha’s last win was January 26, 2002 in the Fieldhouse.

Top Five Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
89 – Harvard (81-72)
135 – IUPUI (71-68)
173 – Milwaukee (60-48)
235 – @ Oakland (60-59)
252 – (Neutral) Prairie View A&M (61-56)

Worst Five Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
303 – @ Fort Wayne (58-65)
297 – Drake (50-62)
236 – @ Boise State (61-80)
232 – South Dakota (52-73)
215 – @ Northern Colorado (61-75)

Kind of up and down. Definitely some potential as shown last weekend and against Harvard, but some bad losses as well.

Omaha vs. North Dakota State

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 41.7% 33.7% 70.0% 0.894 0.817 24.0 0.843 58.0% 36.5% 30.4% 25.0 52.7% 38.5% 67.6% 2.9
NDSU 37.4% 25.6% 77.2% 0.848 0.965 19.5 0.866 52.0% 43.8% 35.8% 21.0 51.2% 31.8% 71.3% 2.7
Favors.. Omaha Omaha NDSU Omaha Omaha Omaha NDSU Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha NDSU Omaha

Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League. Bold indicates the better team in each category.

NDSU is better at FTs, slightly better at assists/to and defensive rebounding. Omaha continues to have a strong statistical profile.

Starters
North Dakota State
Guard – Dani DeGagne – 5-10 – Senior – Averaging 12.3 points, 6.6 rebounds, 2.6 assists, and 2.1 steals.
Guard – Katie Birkel – 5-8 – Senior – Averaging 13.2 points, 3.5 rebounds, 2.9 assists, and 1.8 steals.
Guard – Jamie Van Kirk – 5-9 – Sophomore – Averaging 8.1 points and 3.8 rebounds.
Forward – Liz Keena – 6-0 – Sophomore – Averaging 4.6 points and 2.2 rebounds.
Forward – Marena Whittle – 5-11 – Freshman – Averaging 7.2 points and 7.3 rebounds.

Omaha
Point Guard – Jamie Nash – 5-4 – Senior – Averaging 9.6 points, 3.6 rebounds, 7.2 assists, and 3.6 steals.
Guard – Carly Cator – 5-9 – Senior – Averaging 1.8 points and 3.1 rebounds.
Guard – Paige Frauendorfer – 6-0 – Senior – Averaging 13.1 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 1.5 steals.
Guard – Carolyn Blair-Mobley – 5-10 – Senior – Averaging 12.4 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 2.0 assists.
Center – Taijhe Kelly – 6-4 – Sophomore – Averaging 4.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 blocks.

Three Things to Watch
1) North Dakota State shot selection – Omaha wants the Bison to take threes, North Dakota State wants to find easier shots for them to hit. Bison will need to be patient and get the shots they want.

2.) Rebounding battle – Omaha is a good offensive rebounding team, North Dakota State is a good defensive rebounding team. The two teams rebounding strengths will compete and the winner in that category might be the difference.

3.) Go To Scoring – Whether it’s Frauendorfer or Blair-Mobley that’s where you can find most of the great scoring performances for Omaha this year. They’ve combined to lead Omaha in scoring in seven straight games and in 15 of the 18 games. It’s important that Frauendorfer and Blair-Mobley both get going as you’ll find a lot of Omaha’s struggles come when one of them is quiet. Frauendorfer had four points against both South Dakota and Western Illinois while Blair-Mobley had six against IUPUI, five against Tulsa, and three against Saint Louis.

To put it another way…
Their average combined point total in the five losses: 19.6
Their average combined point total in the thirteen wins: 27.5
Average drop-off in losses: 7.9
Omaha’s average margin of defeat: 10.6 (6.5 outside of the Western Illinois game)

Prediction
I think Omaha gets a nice home win tonight in preparation for South Dakota State. I’ll take the Mavericks 71-56.

Massey – Omaha wins 65-56.
RealTimeRPI – Omaha wins 67-54.

2012-13 Omaha Men’s Basketball – Game #22 Preview – South Dakota

Filed under: Men's Basketball,Omaha Mavericks,Previews — Jon Green @ 12:25 pm

Omaha Men's Basketball Preview South Dakota - 1-24-13

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Omaha competed well at Cal State Bakersfield but came home with another loss. At 5-16 another losing season is guaranteed but Omaha still has an outside shot at making a run at 10 wins. A win tonight would sure help that cause. Now just how doable getting a win tonight is, that’s another question. While Omaha did nearly win the matchup in Vermillion last year, they were beaten 95-72 in Ralston in late December.

South Dakota
The Coyotes have been very up and down over the last few weeks. They got beaten 92-66 by North Dakota State on a Thursday night and turned around on Saturday and upset South Dakota State. Then after losing games to Kansas City and at Fort Wayne they won at Oakland on Saturday. Which High upside to this team but definitely a low downside. Perhaps even low enough for Omaha to take advantage of.

South Dakota is a fairly good shooting team, especially from deep (37.7% – 36th in the country). They are exceptional at free throws where they hit 79.1%, 2nd best in the NCAA. They average 1.03 ppp, 3rd in the Summit and 79th in the country. They’re not nearly as good on the defensive side where they give up 1.102 ppp, 338th in the country.

Side note… the defense doesn’t seem very strong this year in the Summit League. Here’s the bottom six teams… all in the bottom 100 of the NCAA.
Omaha – 344th – 1.16 ppp
IUPUI – 343rd – 1.13 ppp
South Dakota – 336th – 1.10 ppp
Kansas City – 329th – 1.09 ppp
Oakland – 321st – 1.08 ppp
South Dakota State – 260th – 1.03 ppp

Leading scorer is Juevol Myles who is 4th in the conference with 15.5 per game. He’s been held under double figures five times this year but scored 20 or more seven times as well. He had just six in the win at Omaha, proof they are not a one-man team. Three other players (Brandon Bos, Karim Rowson, and Trevor Gruis) average double figures.

In Omaha it was sophomore guard Brandon Bos who led the way with 23 points and 10 rebounds. South Dakota shot 58% from the field and 52% from deep. Omaha won the battle of the turnovers and stayed close on the offensive glass. They lost out mostly due to South Dakota’s tremendous shooting and good FT production.

A big help for the Mavericks today could be CJ Carter. He only played 24 minutes in the first matchup scoring just four points. John Karhoff scored 18 in the first game and had seven rebounds including five offensive boards.

Best Five Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
61 – South Dakota State (74-71)
132 – N.C. Central (81-69)
172 – Morehead State (85-75)
173 – @ Oakland (97-78)
282 – IUPUI (88-68)

Worst Five Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
289 – @ Fort Wayne (60-62)
257 – Kansas City (86-90)
226 – Ball State (73-80)
226 – @ Ball State (51-62)
178 – @ Green Bay (55-72)

Obviously the South Dakota State win is very good but there are a few other good ones. Some of the losses not good especially the one at home to Kansas City a couple weeks ago.

Omaha vs. South Dakota

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 45.7% 35.4% 67.4% 0.952 1.163 21.0 0.829 51.0% 49.4% 38.9% 17.0 46.0% 25.5% 61.9% 2.6
USD 44.8% 37.7% 79.1% 1.030 1.102 18.2 1.008 51.0% 46.5% 36.3% 16.0 46.9% 25.9% 65.4% 3.2
Favors.. Omaha USD USD USD USD USD USD Tie USD USD Omaha USD USD USD USD

Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League. Better team in bold

Omaha is the better offensive teams in this matchup but is also worse defensively. Cal State Bakersfield with the advantage on the boards.

Starters
South Dakota
Guard – Juevol Myles – 6-1 – Senior – Averaging 15.5 points, 3.4 rebounds, 2.8 assists, and 1.5 steals
Guard – Brandon Bos – 6-1 – Sophomore – Averaging 10.4 points and 3.4 rebounds.
Guard – Casey Kasperbauer – 6-1 – Freshman – Averaging 8.9 points and 1.7 rebounds.
Forward – Tyler Flack – 6-7 – Freshman – Averaging 5.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks
Center – Trevor Gruis – 6-10 – Junior – Averaging 11.6 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 1 block.

Omaha
Point Guard – CJ Carter – 6-0 – Sophomore – Averaging 8.8 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
Guard – Alex Phillips – 6-3 – Junior – Averaging 9.1 points and 2.5 rebounds.
Guard – Justin Simmons – 6-3 – Junior – Averaging 14.8 points and 3.8 rebounds.
Forward – Alex Welhouse – 6-7 – Senior – Averaging 7.6 points and 4.6 rebounds.
Center – John Karhoff – 6-8 – Junior -  Averaging 11.9 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

Three Things to Watch
1) Scoring battle – Both of these teams shoot fairly well and more importantly neither of these teams has been playing great defense. This sets up well for an old fashioned shootout. Omaha’s been over 44% in last the last six games and hit 50% in four of those.

2.) Rebounding – Neither team is a great rebounding team so there might be an opportunity here. Omaha did fairly well on the offensive glass last time but were beat badly on the defensive glass.

3.) John Karhoff – As mentioned earlier he had a good showing against South Dakota the first time. He’s got an interesting matchup inside with Trevor Gruis who went for 15 points and six rebounds last time.

Prediction
Defense, defense, defense. Omaha allowed yet another team to have their best offensive night of the year on Saturday in California. Amazingly South Dakota is not one of those teams despite scoring 1.22 ppp against Omaha last time. Their season high is 1.37 against Kansas City… in a loss. Obviously Omaha could have a freakish night shooting but it’s hard to see them winning if they can’t keep South Dakota below about 80 points.

I’ll take South Dakota 88-75.

Massey – South Dakota wins 90-77.
RealTimeRPI – South Dakota wins 87-64.

January 19, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Men’s Tennis – Match #3 Preview – Arkansas

Filed under: Men's Tennis,Omaha Mavericks,Previews — Jon Green @ 3:06 pm

Omaha gets their 2013 tennis schedule underway on Sunday against Arkansas. Omaha will be taking on the Razorbacks at home at the Hanscom Brandeis Tennis Center at 11 am. Omaha is in 5th season of existence and 2nd at the Division one level. Last year Omaha went 6-13 with the only Division 1 win over Western Illinois.

The Mavericks have a nice schedule this year with Arkansas, Western Illinois, North Dakota, Oral Roberts, Creighton, Kansas City, South Dakota State, and Bradley all playing at Omaha. The Mavericks will be challenged as the schedule is full of Division 1 opposition (the only non-D1 opponent is Nebraska Wesleyan on February 2nd).

A college tennis match like this consists of six singles matches (three sets) and three doubles matches (one set).

It’s a little unclear who the Mavericks will use in each singles spot since we haven’t seen any matches this year. There were two events in the fall that might help us though.  In the SIUE Fall Invitational Omaha used the following lineup…

Singles:
#1 – Conner Tieszen
#2 – Eric McKnight
#3 – Carols Ramos Salazar
#4 – John Ellis/Matt Frost/Dobby O’Donnel
#5 – Connor Larson
#6 – Matt Frost
#7 – Dobby O’Donnel
#8 – Peter Greteman

Doubles:
#1 – Frost/Ramos Salzar
#2 – McKnight/Ellis
#3 – Tieszen/Dobby O’Donnel
#4 – Larson/Greteman

Then in the Omaha Intercollegiate Invitational Omaha used the following…

Singles:
Flight A – Conner Tieszen
Flight B – John Ellis/Eric McKnight
Flight C – Matt Frost/Connor Larson
Flight D – Dobby O’Donnel
Flight E – Nate Greteman/Erik Anderson/Pete Greteman

Doubles:
Flight A – Matt Frost/Conner Tieszen
Flight B – John Ellis/Eric McKnight and Peter Greteman/Dobby O’Donnel
Flight C – Erik Anderson/Nathan Greteman

So here’s a guess at the matchups we’ll see tomorrow.
Singles:
#1 – Conner Tieszen
#2 – Eric McKnight
#3 – Carols Ramos Salazar
#4 – John Ellis
#5 – Connor Larson
#6 – Matt Frost

Doubles:
#1 – Frost/Ramos Salazar
#2 – Ellis/McKnight
#3 – Tieszen/Dobby O’Donnel

Arkansas will be facing South Dakota State right afterwards, a double header for the Razorbacks. They play a lot more matches than Omaha and are ranked 56th as a team.  Not really sure what to expect lineup wise so early in the season and I’m not going to bother speculating at all.

2012-13 Omaha Men’s Basketball – Game 21 Preview – Cal State Bakersfield

Filed under: Men's Basketball,Omaha Mavericks,Previews — Jon Green @ 12:24 pm

Omaha Men's Basketball Preview Cal State Bakersfield - 1-19-13

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Omaha struggled with Western Illinois last Saturday in a very tough matchup in Ralston. Omaha shot fairly well considering their opponent at 44% and had an impressive offensive game. Unfortunately the Mavericks really struggled defensively and allowed 1.3 points per possession. It was a game where for large stretches Western Illinois looked dominant and they shot 57% from the field. Now Omaha heads west to California where Cal State Bakersfield looks to pick up only their 5th D1 win of the season.

Cal State Bakersfield
The Roadrunners were one of the top D2 basketball programs before transition to D1 and haven’t found a ton of success at this level. They have been playing as an independent college and have only won more than 10 games once in the last six years. That was last year where they went 16-15 and even played at Utah State in the CIT, losing 75-69.

This year the Roadrunners have played a schedule that’s been challenging at times but has avoided embarrassment for the most part. They haven’t been able to pick up a lot of wins but have been better at home where they are 4-3. They haven’t played in ten days so they’ll be anxious to get back to playing games.

Cal State Bakersfield is stronger on defense than offense, though they are fairly middling at both sides of the ball. They’re one of the worst shooting teams at just 39.3% (317th) but don’t turn the ball over a ton (19.4% of possessions) and are better from three (33.8%) to give them an offensive ppp of 0.909 (281st). Defensively they force a lot of turnovers (22% of possessions) but when the other team does get shots they shoot fairly well (46.7%). The Roadrunners are not great on the glass, but not as bad as Omaha as either grabbing 51% of the misses.

The best player on the team is senior Stephon Carter, on track to be the school’s all-time leading scorer. Carter is averaging 15.6 points and 4.9 rebounds. He also chips in 2.4 assists and 2.3 steals while shooting 45% from the field. Carter is decidedly not a three point shooter, only 1-13 from deep this year.

Other players to keep an eye on are junior Brandon Barnes who averages 11.5 points and 4.2 rebounds and sophomore Javonte Maynor who averages 11 points and shoots 41% from deep. They have a bigger guard who could give Omaha problems in Tyrone White, a 6-7 guard/forward who averages 9.6 points and 4.2 rebounds. The other forward who starts for Cal State Bakersfield is 6-8 Adam Young who has shown great range this year with 20 3’s. He averages 4.9 rebounds and 7.1 points. It’s a team rebounding effort out of the Roadrunners, no one averages more than 4.9 and five players average at least 4.2.

The Roadrunners lost their last game 74-62 at home to Cal State Fullerton. Stephon Carter scored 14 points to lead the way while grabbing six rebounds, four assists, and two steals. However he turned it over six times and the team turned it over 24 times and allowed the Titans to shoot 53%.

Rod Barnes has been the head coach at Cal State Bakersfield the last couple years. Barnes is a well known coach who was formerly at Mississippi from 1998-2006. At Ole Miss he was the Naismith Coach of the Year in 2001 when he took them to the Sweet 16. After leaving Ole Miss he coached at Gerogia State where he helped rebuild the program there. The Panthers went 22-11 last year after Barnes left. A result of a strong team he left or the new coach… former IUPUI head coach Ron Hunter.

Last year Omaha lost to Cal State Bakersfield twice in a 13 day span in February. 75-65 in Omaha and then 84-63 in Bakersfield. Carter scored 23 in Bakersfield and 21 at the Fieldhouse. Zach Lamb scored 27 for Bakersfield in Omaha last year but hurt his ankle early this year and is out for the season. Another guard, Issiah Grayson, who had 11 assists in the game in Bakersfield, is sitting out the year after a knee injury. The Roadrunners will be a dangerous team next year in the WAC.

Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
205 – N.C. A&T (60-52)
224 – @ CSU Fullerton (72-70)
267 – TX San Antonio (85-52)
334 – (Neutral) Miss. Valley St. (69-64)
N/A – Westmont (77-74)
N/A – La Verne (69-49)

Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com

20 – @ UNLV (63-84)
27 – @ Colorado St. (58-78)
33 – @ San Diego St. (57-72)
59 – @ Wyoming (49-63)
66 – @ California (65-78)
83 – @ South Dakota St (63-69)
154 – TX Arlington (60-62)
208 – (Neutral) North Florida (70-80)
214 – Loyola Marymnt (73-76)
214 – @ Loyola Marymnt (66-73)
216 – @ Portland (51-69)
224 – CSU Fullerton (62-74)
259 – @ Sacramento St. (67-85)

A lot of tough games so far this year for the Road Runners. No really awful losses and only three losses at home, all to top 225 teams.

Omaha vs. Cal State Bakersfield

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 45.5% 35.1% 66.8% 0.942 1.160 21.1 0.810 51.0% 49.2% 38.5% 17.0 46.0% 25.4% 61.9% 2.6
CSB 39.3% 33.8% 70.9% 0.909 1.021 19.4 0.880 51.0% 46.7% 36.1% 22.0 51.0% 31.2% 69.9% 1.8
Favors.. Omaha Omaha CSB Omaha CSB CSB CSB CSB CSB CSB CSB CSB CSB CSB Omaha

Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League.

Omaha is the better offensive teams in this matchup but is also worse defensively. Cal State Bakersfield with the advantage on the boards.

Starters
Cal State Bakersfield
Guard – Brandon Barnes – 6-1 – Junior – Atlanta, Georgia/Lipscomb – Averaging 11.5 points, and 4.2 rebounds.
Guard – Javante Maynor – 6-0 – Sophomore – Atlanta, Georgia/Georgia State – Averaging 11.0 points and 1.9 rebounds.
Guard – Stephon Carter – 6-3 – Senior – Bakersfield, California – Averaging 15.6 points, 4.9 rebounds, 2.4 assists, and 2.3 steals.
Guard/Forward – Tyrone White – 6-7 – Senior – Portland, Orgeon/North Idaho College – Averaging 9.6 points and 4.3 rebounds.
Forward – Adam Young – 6-8 – Senior – Las Vegas, Nevada/Barton CC – Averaging 7.1 points and 4.9 rebounds.

Omaha
Point Guard – CJ Carter – 6-0 – Sophomore – Omaha, Nebraska – Averaging 8.3 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists.
Guard – Alex Phillips – 6-3 – Junior – Smiths Station, Alabama/New Mexico JC – Averaging 8.8 points and 2.2 rebounds.
Guard – Justin Simmons – 6-3 – Junior – Milwaukee, Wisconsin/Butler CC – Averaging 14.6 points and 4.0 rebounds.
Forward – Alex Welhouse – 6-7 – Senior – Kaukauna, Wisconsin – Averaging 7.5 points and 4.7 rebounds.
Center – John Karhoff – 6-8 – Junior – Omaha, Nebraska – Averaging 11.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

Three Things to Watch
1) Omaha shooting – Omaha’s been red hot from the field lately shooting over .50% in three straight games before the 44% (which was impressive) against Western Illinois. The Mavericks would seem to be poised for another great shooting performance this week as Cal State Bakersfield is 309th in FG% allowed. Look for another Omaha shooting performance above 50%

2.) Defense – Well this hasn’t been Omaha’s strong suit this year. Omaha has allowed greater than 1 ppp in each game in 2013 (four straight). I’m not predicting the Mavericks hold the Roadrunners below 1, but the fact that the Roadrunners are only averaging 0.909 gives hope that Omaha can slow them down tonight.

3.) Ball control – Omaha’s had their good performances (9.8% rate vs. Western Illinois) and their awful ones (30.3% at South Dakota State). Where they end up today is anyone’s guess but not turning it over and shooting well could provide an opportunity to really do well offensively. Unfortunately Cal State Bakersfield does force their opponents to turn it over on 22% of possessions so Omaha won’t find this easy.

Prediction
I’m not quite ready to believe in Omaha getting their first road win of the season. Think it’s definitely possible but I expect Bakersfield to win a good game 84-73.

Massey – Cal State Bakersfield wins 81-70.
RealTimeRPI – Cal State Bakersfield wins 79-68.

January 18, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Women’s Basketball – Game 18 Preview – Indiana Dabney

Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Women's Basketball — Jon Green @ 6:28 pm

Omaha Women's Basketball Preview Indiana Dabney - 1-19-13

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This will be an interesting game. Coming off an unspectacular win over one of the worst teams in Division 1 Omaha will take on… well… a team. From a college called Indiana Dabney. Not really sure what else we can add to this because there isn’t a lot out there. This should be a massive win. If Omaha set the school record for points tomorrow I’d be surprised (their offense isn’t anywhere near that level) but if Omaha didn’t give up 30 points that wouldn’t surprise me at all.

Indiana Dabney
Being a master of Google I have found a few things… Let’s start with information from Omaha’s official website, “Indiana Dabney has no statistics or results available. Indiana Dabney is an independent school in its first year of competition. IDU is located in Hammond, Ind., just outside Chicago, and plays mostly NAIA opponents. The Lions have just six players on their roster.”

I have found a few things… like THIS! A Photo album depicting a basketball game between Indiana Dabney and Daley College on November 8th. We learn from this that Indiana Dabney has a #1, #5, #10, #14, #23, and a #25. Or at least did at one point… I think there seems to be a couple other players who we can’t identify in these pictures. Unfortunately there is no score attached to the photo album nor a score on the NJCAA website for this game.

Indiana Dabney is coached by a “Coach Posley”. Actual name Tommie Posley. Here’s a team photo. Numbers 1, 10, 14, 23 and 25 are visible here. I believe #5 is in the bottom left here.

Indiana Dabney did play a Trinity International on December 29th, losing 58-82. Trinity is an 8-14 NAIA team.  That game produced… a box score!

So #1 is Ternika Reynold. She barely played but grabbed a rebound.
#5 is Ciera Taylor. She went 3-8, grabbed six rebounds and had nine points… and five turnovers.
#10 is Lenora Thomas. She went 3-5 and hit a three. She added three rebounds and three blocks… seven points.
#14 is Fila Poe. Poe went 5-14 from the field and 5-10 from the FT line. She added four rebounds and four assists. A nice 15 point outing, though the TWELVE turnovers won’t help things.
#20 is Tonisha Simpson. She went 2-3 from the field, 0-3 from the FT line. Two boards and four points.
#21 is Wessie Johnson. She went 3-9 from the field and grabbed ten rebounds! Seven points so not quite a double-double. Only six turnovers.
#23 is Althea Adejudge. She went 7-11 from the field and grabbed eight rebounds. Nice game. Nine turnovers doesn’t help much though.

Now the box score lists what appears to be six starters… so I dunno what’s going on there. Would seem Taylor, Thomas, Poe, and Adejudge start as all played 36+ minutes. Simpson and Johnson both were around 24..  The team did shoot fairly well (46%) and were only outrebounded by 11. The 35 turnovers are concerning ahead of matchup like this. 22 of those were steals by Trinity.

Here’s another one… Lindenwood-Belleville got a win over them earlier in the year. 83-74. Here’s a box score. It’s not a real complete one… But we do know that Terranika Reynolds scored 30, Althea Adejudge had 19, and Fila Poe had 12.  LB is now 10-8 on the year BTW, another NAIA team.  Also the starters were Adejudge, Thomas, Poe, Simpson and… unknown. They only list four.

So that’s all I found for Indiana Dabney.  Tried searching some players. A Ciera Taylor played for Daley College two years ago. A Ciera Taylor also played for Corliss High School in Illinois back in 2008-09 as a senior. She was 5’5”. A Lenora Thomas played for Malcom X College in 2010-11. in 25 games she averaged 4.6 points and 3.7 rebounds. Another Lenora Thomas appears to have been a high school player at Lincoln Park in Illinois. She was only a freshman in 2008-09 so she would have finished her career in the spring and could be a freshman on this team. A Fila Poe played on the Malcolm X team last year scoring 11.7 points and grabbing 4 rebounds per game. A Tonisha Simpson played for seven games in 2009-10 averaging 6.4 points and 5.3 rebounds in seven games. A Althea Adejudge played for Wilbur Wright College in 2009-10. She averaged 12 points and 9.5 rebounds.

So who knows if any of these players are the ones playing tomorrow… it’s all we have. By passing some of our usual preview categories due to the lack of information.

Three Things to Watch
1) Dominance – Omaha has to dominate this game right? When you are playing an overmatched opponent like this I think it’s important to make it clear that the teams are on a different level through your play. Chicago State should never have been in as close of a game as they were with Omaha. That can’t happen again.

2.) Stat watch – With so many Omaha players near records I’m interested to see what quality of stats we end up getting out of this game. Omaha is not sending a SID to game. Will Indiana Dabney have a good stat team there or is it possible all we get out of this is some point totals and basket totals? Seems shocking but it could happen I suppose… Even if it does maybe there’d be a video tape that better stats could be taken from? I’d just hate to see Jaime grab a school record in steals on Saturday (it’s 12 by the way) and not have credit for it because no one was officially counting.

3.) Bench minutes – Now this is the chance to get some bench players some minutes… Allison Jackson showed something in a lot of minutes on Thursday and hopefully Kate Bayes and Myhiah Dotzler get a chance to as well.

Prediction
Omaha wins big obviously… but how big?  I’ll fancy a guess of 84-32. It’s really a wild wild guess though.
Massey – Not available for this game.
RealTimeRPI – Not available for this game.

January 17, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Swimming and Diving – Event #13 Preview – Grinnell Invitational

Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Swimming and Diving — Jon Green @ 6:58 pm

Live Video (Free)
Live Results?
Last weekend Omaha’s swimming and diving team preformed admirably on Friday against Northern Iowa picking up a big win before Illinois State beat them in Normal on Saturday. This weekend Omaha will be in the Grinnell Invitational in Grinnell, Iowa.

There will be eleven schools competing in the invitational. Last year Omaha finished 2nd to Gustavus Adolphus and will look to improve on that this year.
The event schedule is available online. There will be 10 events each day, seven preliminaries in the morning starting at 9 am followed by one final. Then diving at approximately 1 pm, then the evening session at 5:30pm which will have eight finals.

I’ve used results from previous meets this year to try and project things and give us an idea of what to expect. Here are the schools and what meet I used to project them:

  • Omaha – Division 1 – Mutual of Omaha Invite
  • Nebraska-Kearney – Division 2 – Mutual of Omaha Invite
  • Augustana College – Division 3 – Pioneer Classic
  • Coe College – Division 3 – Pioneer Classic
  • Grinnell College – Division 3 – Pioneer Classic
  • Gustavus Adolphus – Division 3 – Jean Freeman Invitational
  • Luther College – Division 3 – St. Thomas Invitational
  • Macalester College – Division 3 – St. Thomas Invitational
  • Simpson College – Division 3 – Mutual of Omaha Invite
  • St. Catherine – Division 3 – St. Thomas Invitational
  • College of Saint Mary – NAIA – Mutual of Omaha Invite

    For each event you’ll find the following information:
    Event Name – 1st/2nd/3rd from last year – Omaha School Record
    Top 5 times from my research
    All of Omaha’s times from the Mutual of Omaha Invite
    Projected scores for Gustavus and Omaha. They are likely go 1-2 so we won’t worry about the others really.
    If Omaha had a top 5 swimmer last year in the event

    200 Yard Freestyle Relay – 1:39.80/1:43.56/1:43.96 – School Record = 1:35.24
    1st – 1:35.67 – Omaha

    2nd – 1:37.06 – Gustavus Adolphus
    3rd – 1:40.63 – Nebraska-Kearney
    4th – 1:40.78 – Luther
    5th – 1:45.38 – Augustana

    Total: Omaha – 48, Gustavus Adolphus – 42
    Last Year: Omaha got 3rd

  • 400 Yard Freestyle Relay – 3:38.01/3:39.17/3:45.85 – School Record = 3:25.52
    1st – 3:29.76 – Omaha

    2nd – 3:36.68 – Gustavus Adolphus
    3rd – 3:46.27 – Nebraska-Kearney
    4th – 3:47.04 – Grinnell
    5th – 3:50.03 – St. Catherine

    Total: Omaha – 48, Gustavus Adolphus – 42
    Last Year: Omaha won this event.

    800 Yard Freestyle Relay – 8:06.18/8:07.53/8:10.22 – School Record = 7:31.21
    1st – 7:55.99 – Gustavus Adolphus
    2nd – 8:00.44 – Omaha
    3rd – 8:18.04 – Grinnell
    4th – 8:20.89 – St. Catherine
    5th – 8:32.44 – Nebraska-Kearney

    Total: Gustavus Adolphus – 48, Omaha – 42
    Last Year: Omaha took 2nd.

    200 Yard Medley Relay – 1:50.86/1:52.67/1:53.41 – School Record = 1:45.61
    1st – 1:45.93 – Omaha

    2nd – 1:47.16 – Gustavus Adolphus
    3rd – 1:54.71 – Grinnell
    4th – 1:56.99 – Macalester
    5th – 1:58.58 – Nebraska-Kearney

    Total: Omaha – 48, Gustavus Adolphus – 42
    Last Year: Omaha took 2nd.

    400 Yard Medley Relay – 4:03.91/4:08.02/4:08.15 – School Record = 3:51.35
    1st – 3:53.17 – Omaha

    2nd – 4:00.68 – Gustavus Adolphus
    3rd – 4:03.18 – Luther
    4th – 4:11.12 – Grinnell
    5th – 4:17.11 – St. Catherine

    Total: Omaha – 48, Gustavus Adolphus – 42
    Last Year: Omaha took 3rd.

    50 Yard Freestyle – 24.76/24.99/25.28 – School Record = 23.36
    1st – 23.87 – Natalie Renshaw – Omaha
    2nd – 23.96 – Cami Hansberry – Omaha
    3rd – 23.99 – Whitney Korgan – Omaha

    4th – 24.30 – Katie Olson – Gustavus Adolphus
    5th – 24.46 – Anna Haxby – Omaha

    6th – 24.67 – Hannah Johnson – Omaha
    8th – 25.04 – Chelsea Hartman – Omaha

    Outside Top 20:
    26.56 – Tasha Posthuma – Omaha
    26.85 – Caitlin Brown – Omaha
    27.81 – Kari Mettenbrink – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 115, Gustavus Adolphus – 76
    Last Year: Jenna Foiles took 5th.

    100 Yard Freestyle – 53.87/54.01/54.54 – School Record = 51.11
    1st – 51.32 – Natalie Renshaw – Omaha

    2nd – 52.42 – Alissa Tinklenberg – Gustavus Adolphus
    3rd – 52.74 – Whitney Korgan – Omaha
    4th – 54.09 – Cami Hansberry – Omaha
    5th – 54.24 – Hannah Johnson – Omaha

    10th – 55.85 – Chelsea Hartman – Omaha
    18th – 56.73 – Anna Haxby – Omaha

    Outside Top 20:
    57.47 – Victoria Schab – Omaha
    59.13 – Caitlin Brown – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 97, Gustavus Adolphus – 96
    Last Year: Camile Hasnberry won this even, Jenna Foiles got 5th.

    200 Yard Freestyle – 1:57.70/1:58.76/1:59.30 – School Record = 1:51.03
    1st – 1:55.88 – Erin Wright – Omaha
    2nd – 1:56.76 – Whitney Korgan – Omaha
    3rd – 1:57.38 – Hannah Johnson – Omaha

    4th – 1:58.97 – Leah Anderson – Gustavus Adolphus
    5th – 2:00.52 – Anna Eames – Gustavus Adolphus

    9th – 2:02.93 – Mattea Fosbender – Omaha

    Outside Top 20:
    2:12.65 – Caitlin Brown – Omaha

    Total: Gustavus Adolphus – 108, Omaha – 76
    Last Year: Kylie Rathbone finished 2nd and Christen young got 4th.

    500 Yard Freestyle – 5:10.75/5:15.18/5:18.52 – School Record = 5:00.77
    1st – 5:00.90 – Alissa Tinkleberg – Gustavus Adolphus
    2nd – 5:13.15 – Lexi Bergeron – Omaha
    3rd – 5:18.27 – McKenna Jones – Gustavus Adolphus
    4th – 5:18.43 – Christen Young – Omaha
    5th – 5:19.05 – Mattea Fosbender – Omaha

    12th – 5:28.61 – Hannah Johnson – Omaha

    Outside Top 20:
    5:36.93 – Sarah Blount – Omaha
    5:40.67 – Morgan Cullison – Omaha
    6:01.39 – Kari Mettenbrink – Omaha

    Total: Gustavus Adolphus – 127, Omaha – 67
    Last Year: Jenna Foiles got 3rd.

    1650 Yard Freestyle – 18:25.72/18:39.44/18:43.87 – School Record = 17:20.61
    1st – 18:09.54 – Lexi Bergeron – Omaha

    2nd – 18:37.75 – Elizabeth Reed – Luther
    3rd – 18:39.77 – Elizabeth Larson – Gustavus Adolphus
    4th – 18:40.61 – Carolyn Fittipaldi – Gustavus Adolphus
    5th – 18:42.33 – McKenna Jones – Gustavus Adolphus

    12th – 19:12.00 – Sarah Blount – Omaha

    15th – 19:22.62 – Morgan Cullison – Omaha

    Total: Gustavus Adolphus – 118, Omaha – 39
    Last Year: The highest finishing Maverick was Meredith Colombo in 9th.

    100 Yard Backstroke – 59.81/1:02.13/1:03.05 – School Record = 55.60
    1st – 57.27 – Alissa Tinklenberg – Gustavus Adolphus
    2nd – 57.78 – Natalie Renshaw – Omaha
    3rd – 58.15 – Clare Slagel – Luther
    4th – 1:00.86 – Cami Hansberry – Omaha
    5th – 1:01.60 – Ashley Kneifl – Omaha

    6th – 1:01.92 – Victoria Schab – Omaha
    8th – 1:02.39 – Jenna Foiles – Omaha
    20th – 1:05.17 – Chelsea Hartman – Omaha

    Outside Top 20:
    1:06.34 – Tasha Posthuma – Omaha
    1:06.55 – Whitney Korgan – Omaha
    1:09.70 – Caitlin Brown – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 91, Gustavus Adolphus – 85
    Last Year: Victoria Schab got 3rd.

    200 Yard Backstroke – 2:08.09/2:12.44/2:13.94 – School Record = 1:58.38
    1st – 2:02.64 – Alissa Tinklenberg – Gustavus Adolphus
    2nd – 2:05.67 – Clare Slagel – Luther
    3rd – 2:08.25 – Natalie Renshaw – Omaha
    4th – 2:09.39 – Jenna Foiles – Omaha

    5th – 2:12.64 – Quinn Arnold  – Gustavus Adolphus

    6th – 2:15.49 – Ashley Kneifl – Omaha
    7th – 2:15.99 – Claire Alexander – Omaha

    11th – 2:18.60 – Sarah Blount – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 79, Gustavus Adolphus – 76
    Last Year: Christen Young took 3rd.

    100 Yard Breaststroke – 1:07.18/1:08.75/1:11.44 – School Record = 1:04.08 – Maddie Hutt
    1st – 1:04.08 – Maddie Hutt – Omaha
    2nd – 1:06.64 – Hannah Alexander – Omaha

    3rd – 1:06.69 – Jennifer Strom – Gustavus Adolphus
    4th – 1:08.23 – Katie Maier – Omaha
    5th – 1:08.43 – Jordane Linhart – Omaha

    6th – 1:08.57 – Anna Haxby – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 99, Gustavus Adolphus – 71
    Last Year: Top finisher for Omaha was Mattea Fosbender in 7th.

    200 Yard Breaststroke – 2:28.02/2:28.06/2:28.71 – School Record = 2:17.91 – Maddie Hutt
    1st – 2:17.91 – Maddie Hutt – Omaha
    2nd – 2:23.49 – Hannah Alexander – Omaha

    3rd – 2:24.09 – Jennifer Strom – Gustavus Adolphus
    4th – 2:27.47 – Lexi Bergeron – Omaha
    5th – 2:28.40 – Katie Maier – Omaha

    9th – 2:30.70 – Jordane Linhart – Omaha
    10th – 2:31.35 – Erin Wright – Omaha

    13th – 2:36.89 – Claire Alexander – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 117, Gustavus Adolphus – 60
    Last Year: Lexi Bergeron won this event.

    100 Yard Butterfly – 1:00.80/1:01.15/1:01.31 – School Record = 56.37
    1st – 58.29 – Jenna Foiles – Omaha
    2nd – 59.12 – Cami Hansberry – Omaha
    3rd – 59.30 – Christen Young – Omaha
    4th – 1:00.51 – Tasha Posthuma – Omaha
    5th – 1:01.16 – Morgan Cullison – Omaha

    7th – 1:03.00 – Chelsea Hartman – Omaha
    9th – 1:03.46 – Katie Maier – Omaha

    Outside Top 20:
    1:07.75 – Kari Mettenbrink – Omaha
    1:08.33 – Jordane Linhart – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 132, Gustavus Adolphus – 48
    Last Year: Lexi Bergeron won this even and Ashley Kneifl finished 4th.

    200 Yard Butterfly – 2:16.51/2:19.34/2:19.82 – School Record = 2:06.86
    1st – 2:11.66 – Christen Young – Omaha
    2nd – 2:12.10 – Jenna Foiles – Omaha
    3rd – 2:15.70 – Jalyn Marks – Grinnell
    4th – 2:17.61 – Morgan Cullison – Omaha
    5th – 2:17.91 – Laura Drake – Gustavus Adolphus

    7th – 2:19.55 – Mattea Fosbender – Omaha
    8th – 2:20.70 – Tasha Posthuma – Omaha

    14th – 2:25.65 – Sarah Blount – Omaha

    Outside Top 20:
    2:33.98 – Kari Mettenbrink – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 102, Gustavus Adolphus – 93
    Last Year: Hannah Alexander took 2nd while Mattea Fosbender took 3rd.

    200 Yard Individual Medley – 2:13.97/2:15.03/2:15.54 – School Record = 2:05.87
    1st – 2:08.85 – Alissa Tinklenberg – Gustavus Adolphus
    2nd – 2:10.66 – Maddie Hutt – Omaha
    3rd – 2:11.14 – Hayley Levin – Grinnell
    4th – 2:12.48 – Erin Wright – Omaha
    5th – 2:13.31 – Laura Drake – Gustavus Adolphus

    7th – 2:14.99 – Hannah Alexander – Omaha
    9th – 2:17.37 – Ashley Kneifl – Omaha
    12th – 2:18.77 – Anna Haxby – Omaha
    16th – 2:20.00 – Claire Alexander – Omaha

    Outside Top 20:
    2:25.93 – Katie Maier – Omaha
    2:28.80 – Jordane Linahrt – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 84, Gustavus Adolphus – 75
    Last Year: Kyle Rathbone won, Christen Young in 4th, Ashley Kneifl in 5th.

    400 Yard Individual Medley – 4:47.69/4:52.44/4:53.67 – School Record = 4:29.85
    1st – 4:23.23 – Alissa Tinklenberg – Gustavus Adolphus
    2nd – 4:37.27 – Lexi Bergeron – Omaha
    3rd – 4:37.75 – Maddie Hutt – Omaha
    4th – 4:38.13 – Erin Wright – Omaha
    5th – 4:39.33 – Hannah Alexander – Omaha

    6th – 4:40.21 – Christen Young – Omaha
    8th – 4:44.95 – Mattea Fosbender – Omaha
    10th – 4:49.47 – Ashley Kneifl – Omaha

    Outside Top 20:
    5:08.84 – Claire Alexander – Omaha

    Total: Omaha – 123, Gustavus Adolphus – 64
    Last Year: Camille Hansberry finished 4th.

    1-Meter Diving – 466.20/424.30/411.55 – School Record = 437.84
    1st – 399.30 – Shelby Waslh – Gustavus Adolphus
    2nd – 389.77 – Hunter Hendenberg – Macalester
    3rd – 386.83 – Renee Jordan – Macalester
    4th – 332.48 – Maddie Richardson – Omaha
    5th – 327.85 – Emma Falley – Grinnell

    14th – 287.01 – Miranda Knipfer – Omaha

    Total: Gustavus Adolphus – 41, Omaha – 26
    Last Year: No Mavericks competed last year.

    3-Meter Diving – 425.20/421.35/410.15 – School Record = 469.35
    1st – 381.61 – Renee Jordan – Macalester
    2nd – 366.67 – Hunter Hendenberg – Macalester
    3rd – 364.10 – Miranda Knipfer – Omaha
    4th – 351.82 – Haley Totzke – Gustavus Adolphus
    5th – 350.81 – Alivia Bavier – St. Catherine

    14th – 261.25 – Maddie Richardson – Omaha

    Total: Gustavus Adolphus – 35, Omaha – 26
    Last Year: No Mavericks competed

    PROJECTED FINAL SCORE:
    Omaha – 1507
    Gustavus Adolphus – 1389

    Looks like Omaha definitely has a good chance to win the Grinnell Invitation this year, perhaps even being the favorite.

      Projected Omaha winners: (12)
      200 Yard Freestyle Relay
      400 Yard Freestyle Relay
      200 Yard Medley Relay
      400 Yard Medley Relay
      Natalie Renshaw – 50 Yard Freestyle, 100 Yard Freestyle
      Erin Wright – 200 Yard Freestyle
      Lexi Bergeron – 1000 Yard Freestyle
      Maddie Hutt – 100 Yard Breaststroke, 200 Yard Breaststroke
      Jenna Foiles – 100 Yard Butterfly
      Christen Young – 200 Yard Butterfly

      Projected Omaha runner-ups: (11)
      800 Yard Freestyle Relay
      Cami Hansberry – 50 Yard Freestyle, 100 Yard Butterfly
      Whitney Korgan – 200 Yard Freestyle
      Lexi Bergeron – 500 Yard Freestyle, 400 Yard Individual Medley
      Natalie Renshaw – 100 Yard Backstroke
      Hannah Alexander – 100 Yard Breaststroke, 200 Yard Breaststroke
      Jenna Foiles – 200 Yard Butterfly
      Maddie Hut – 200 Yard Individual Medley

      Projected Omaha 3rd places: (7)
      Whitney Korgan – 50 Yard Freestyle, 100 Yard Freestyle
      Hannah Johnson – 200 Yard Freestyle
      Natalie Renshaw – 200 Yard Backstroke
      Christen Young – 100 Yard Butterfly
      Maddie Hutt – 400 Yard Individual Medley
      Miranda Knipfer – 3-Meter Diving

      Projected Omaha 4th places:
      (11)
      Cami Hansberry – 100 Yard Freestyle, 100 Yard Backstroke
      Christen Young – 500 Yard Freestyle
      Jenna Foiles – 200 Yard Backstroke
      Katie Maier – 100 Yard Breaststroke
      Lexi Bergeron – 200 Yard Breaststroke
      Tasha Posthuma – 100 Yard Butterfly
      Morgan Cullison – 200 Yard Butterfly
      Erin Wright – 200 Yard Individual Medley, 400 Yard Individual Medley
      Maddie Richardson – 1-Meter Diving

      Projected Omaha 5th places:
      (8)
      Anna Haxby – 50 Yard Freestyle
      Hannah Johnson – 100 Yard Freestyle
      Mattea Fosbender – 500 Yard Freestyle
      Ashley Kneifl – 100 Yard Backstroke
      Jordane Linhart – 100 Yard Breaststroke
      Katie Maier – 200 Yard Breaststroke
      Morgan Cullison – 100 Yard Butterfly
      Christen Young – 400 Yard Individual Medley

      Think this could be a really good weekend for Omaha, hopefully winning the Grinnell Invite for the first time since 2010-11.

      2012-13 Omaha Track and Field – Event #3 Preview – Prairie Wolf Indoor Invitational

      Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Track and Field — Jon Green @ 1:32 pm

      Live Info

      Omaha will be taking part in the Prairie Wolf Indoor Invitational on Friday. The event starts at 11:30 am. It’ll be held at the Knight Field House and the Devaney Sports Center and is hosted by Nebraska Wesleyan.

      Here’s the field for the Invitational:

      • Nebraska – D1
      • Omaha – D1
      • Wichita State – D1
      • Sioux Falls – D2
      • Nebraska-Kearney – D2
      • Nebraska Wesleyan – D3
      • Buena Vista – D3 – First Event of the Year
      • Concordia – NAIA
      • Doane – NAIA
      • Dordt – NAIA
      • Hastings – NAIA
      • Midland – NAIA
      • Sterling – NAIA

      Here’s what you’ll find below for each event:
      Event Name – 1st/2nd/3rd (from last year) – Omaha School Record
      Top 5 times/distances from entered teams this year
      Omaha’s top competitors this year

      I’ve ordered the events by their scheduled start time.

      Women’s Weight Throw – 16.56m/16.05m/15.80m – SR 17.07m
      18.07m – Jamie Crouse – Concordia
      16.61m – Stephanie Coley – Concordia
      16.52m – Carly Henry – Doane
      16.19m – Tristen Sharp – Nebraska
      16.08m – Abby Griffith – Hastings
      12.51m – Elizabeth Thompson – Omaha

      Women’s Shot Put – 13.72m/13.43m/13.27m – SR 14.99m
      14.94m – Carlie Pinkelman – Nebraska
      14.20m – Tristen Sharp – Nebraska
      14.16m – Jessica Payne – Doane
      13.88m – Abby Griffith – Hastings
      13.70m – M.J. Massanet – Nebraska-Kearney
      10.88m – Sami Spenner – Omaha
      9.48m – Amanda Alexander – Omaha

      Women’s Pole Vault – 3.70m/J3.70m/J3.70m – SR 3.22m
      3.95m – Maggie Maher – Nebraska
      3.80m – Kayla Coffee – Sioux Falls
      3.80m – Brigitte Gross – Sioux Falls
      3.66m – Kristin Majerus – Sioux Falls
      3.65m – Samantha Koch – Sioux Falls
      3.65m – Chelsey Schenavar – Sioux Falls

      Women’s 5000m – 17:37.70/18:09.79/18:26.78 – SR 17:39.73
      * indicates converted due to track size
      17:39.73 – Amanda Vorthmann – Omaha – SCHOOL RECORD
      18:57.75* – Gabi Jenkins – Nebraska Wesleyan
      19:04.51 – Kristin Rogers – Omaha
      19:30.64 – Kristen Carmichael – Omaha
      19:45.19* – Hannah Schroeder – Doane

      Women’s Long Jump – 5.67m/5.36m/5.29m – SR 6.11m
      6.08m – Sami Spenner – Omaha
      5.92m – Jazzelena Black – Sioux Falls
      5.78m – Denneil Shaw – Omaha
      5.75m – Tanya Friesen – Wichita State
      5.70m – Kari Heck – Nebraska
      4.97m – Amanda Alexander – Omaha
      4.75m – Jessica Ripp – Omaha

      Sami Spenner won this event last year.

      Women’s Triple Jump – 11.33m/11.23m/11.11m – SR 13.76m
      12.54m – Sami Spenner – Omaha
      12.22m – Anna Weigandt – Nebraska
      11.96m – Shanice Andrews – Wichita State
      11.76m – Courtney Reinke – Wichita State
      11.60m – Jazzelena Black – Sioux Falls
      11.52m – Denneil Shaw – Omaha
      10.59m – Jessica Ripp – Omaha
      9.11m – Amanda Alexander – Omaha

      Denneil Shaw got 3rd in this event last year.

      Women’s High Jump – 1.70m/J1.70m/1.65m – SR 1.78m
      1.78m – J’Lynn Ledesma – Wichita State
      1.73m – Marusa Cernjul – Nebraska
      1.73m – Jillanna Scanlan – Nebraska
      1.68m – Anne Martin – Nebraska
      1.64m – Ashley Petersen – Wichita State
      1.64m – Alyssa McDowell – Doane
      1.64m – Briana Vander Woude – Dordt

      Kathie-Lee Laidley won this event for Omaha last year.

      Women’s 60m Hurdles – 8.69/8.73/9.04 – SR 8.55
      * indicates converted from 55m
      8.60 – Natalie Morerod – Wichita State
      8.70 – Shanice Andrews – Wichita State
      8.80* – Briana Vander Woude – Dordt
      8.82 – Jordan Stiens – Nebraska
      8.84 – Mila Andric – Nebraska
      8.95 – Sami Spenner – Omaha
      11.35* – Amanda Alexander – Omaha

      Women’s 60m Dash – 7.91/7.94/7.97 – SR 7.49
      * indicates converted from 55m
      ^ indicates converted for altitude
      7.64 – Shamoya Pruitt – Wichita State
      7.70 – Breunna McCarty – Nebraska
      7.81 – Monaye Williams – Wichita State
      7.87 – Kari Heck – Nebraska
      7.87^ – Michelle Leichleiter – Hastings
      8.04* – Terri Armstrong – Omaha
      8.50 – Jessica Ripp – Omaha
      8.87 – Amanda Alexander – Omaha

      Women’s 1 Mile – 5:07.99/5:08.72/5:12.29 – SR 4:59.22
      * indicates converted due to track size
      4:53.32* – Aliphine Tuliamuk-Bolton – Wichita State
      5:01.38* – Kaitlyn McLeod – Wichita State
      5:08.67* – Kayla Deighan – Wichita State
      5:12.19 – Amanda Vorthmann – Omaha
      5:12.31 – Sarah Plambeck – Nebraska
      5:15.15 – Ashley Kildow – Omaha
      5:33.05* – Katarina Zarudnaya – Omaha

      Amanda Vorthmann won this event last year.

      Women’s 400m – 58.37/58.55/58.56 – SR 53.04
      * indicates converted due to track size
      56.08 – Mara Weekes – Nebraska
      56.64 – Mila Andric – Nebraska
      57.35* – Kendra Knight – Sioux Falls
      57.47 – Ellie Grooters – Nebraska
      58.53 – Katie Bonnema – Dordt

      Women’s 600m – 1:39.84/1:39.97/1:43.06 – SR 1:34.55
      * indicates converted due to track size
      1:34.57 – Shawnice Williams – Nebraska
      1:36.76 – Jelena Andjelkovic – Nebraska
      1:37.54* – Jessa Sughroue – Doane
      1:37.81 – Siera Rohde – Nebraska
      1:39.39 – Anna Minnik – Nebraska

      Women’s 800m – 2:20.69/2:22.21/2:23.39 – SR 2:07.14
      * indicates converted due to track size
      2:14.60* – Marissa Bongers – Nebraska-Kearney
      2:15.49* – Jessa Sughroue – Doane
      2:19.11* – Samantha Shukla – Wichita State
      2:21.30 – Shawnice Williams – Nebraska
      2:23.42* – Lacey Wright – Doane
      2:25.60* – Lydia Martin – Omaha
      2:35.87 – Michelle Gatewood – Omaha
      2:39.73 – Karo Garcia – Omaha
      2:41.29* – Jaqueline Mezick – Omaha
      2:45.06* – Kelsey Green – Omaha

      Women’s 1000m – 2:58.33/3:01.23/3:01.59 – SR 2:52.46
      * indicates converted due to track size
      3:14.83 – Megan Letts – Concordia
      3:19.61* – Carrie King – Sioux Falls
      3:20.37 – Jenean Williams – Concordia

      Women’s 200m – 25.70/25.93/26.22 – SR 23.93
      * indicates converted due to track size
      24.56* – Natalie Morerod – Wichita State
      24.59 – Mara Weekes – Nebraska
      25.76 – Breunna McCarty – Nebraska
      25.82* – Kiara Giles – Wichita State
      25.95* – Kristina Taylor – Wichita State
      27.05* – Terri Armstrong – Omaha

      Women’s 3000m – 10:16.73/10:21.65/10:22.99 – SR 9:50.04
      * indicates converted due to track size
      9:30.13* – Aliphine Tuliamuk-Bolton – Wichita State
      10:11.97 – Katie White – Nebraska
      10:12.29* – Amanda Vorthmann – Omaha
      10:25.03* – Laura Burke – Wichita State
      10:26.70 – Martina Barinova – Nebraska
      10:48.22* – Kristin Rogers – Omaha
      11:01.47* – MiKayla Peck – Omaha
      11:10.80 – Kayla Fenske – Omaha
      11:16.49* – Kristen Carmichael – Omaha
      11:28.69* – Carolyn Newhouse – Omaha

      Amanda Vorthmann came in 2nd in this event last year

      Women’s 4x400m Relay – 4:01.81/4:02.50/4:04.26 – SR 3:43.37
      * indicates converted due to track size
      3:50.81* – Wichita State
      3:51.82 – Nebraska
      4:01.96* – Sioux Falls
      4:08.51* – Nebraska-Kearney
      4:10.03* – Hastings

      Summary:
      Based on all of the above data we’d project the following… some events (like the 5,000m) have so few times that these will be way way off…

      Projected Winners for Omaha:
      Amanda Vorthmann – 5000m
      Sami Spenner – Long Jump, Triple Jump

      Projected Runner-ups for Omaha:
      None

      Projected 3rd places for Omaha:
      Kristin Rogers – 5000m
      Denneil Shaw – Long Jump
      Amanda Vorthmann – 3000m

      Projected 4th places for Omaha:
      Kristin Carmichael – 5000m
      Amanda Vorthmann – 1 Mile

      Projected 5th places for Omaha:
      None

      2012-13 Omaha Women’s Basketball – Game 17 Preview – Chicago State

      Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Women's Basketball — Jon Green @ 11:37 am

      Omaha Women's Basketball Preview Chicago State - 1-17-13

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      Last week was not a good week for Omaha with the 11 point loss at IUPUI followed by their worst performance of the season, a 71-44 loss to Western Illinois. Omaha had one of their worst games defensively and offensively at the same time and the result was a lot of questions about where the season goes from here. Where the season goes this week is a road trip to Chicago State on Thursday. It’s a great time for this game, the Cougars are reeling themselves, losers of 14 straight and just 1-16 on the season. They’ve also lost most of their games by 20+ points and their only win is over an NAIA school.

      Chicago State
      To say Chicago State has struggled would be an understatement. After a home loss to Milwaukee and a road loss to Missouri they did get a win vs. Indiana Northwest on November 16th. They haven’t won since. They lost by two at home to Central Methodist in late November and by three vs. Southern Illinois in late December. Other than those two games every other loss is by 20 or more. The latest was a 71-38 loss at Utah Valley last Saturday.

      Chicago State is one of the worst shooting teams in Division 1 at 28.8% (344th out of 345) and only score .606 points per possession (344th). Defensively they aren’t much better, giving up .993 points per possession (338th). What are they “good” at? Well they are 211th in 3FG Defense (31%) and 143rd in blocks (3.5). They are also 76th in turnovers forced (19.9). Chicago State is willing to play a fairly up tempo game.

      Surprisingly despite starting three forwards of 6-0 or greater in the last few games, the cougars allow opposing teams to shoot 48.5% from inside the arc. Chicago State also allows opposing teams to grab 41.8% of available rebounds (343rd). Defensively on the glass they only grab about 52.5% of missed shots. That means teams are getting a 2nd chance on almost half of their missed shots. This could be a big area to exploit for a Maverick team that grabs 36.5% of their own misses.

      Chicago State does not have a single player averaging double figures. Their leading scorer is sophomore guard Tierra Williams who is averaging 8.8 points. Williams has only started five games this year for Chicago State, so she’s been scoring those off the bench mostly. Speaking of the bench, Chicago State has nine players that have started at least five games this season. They’ve used nine different lineups, so our guess down below is really truly only a guess. Whoever starts they clearly have a lot of different options to turn to off the bench and can try different combinations.

      Sophomore forward Jasmine Collins averages 7.1 points and three rebounds while sophomore guard Jackie Jones is perhaps their best player averaging 7.1 points, 3.6 rebounds, 3.2 assists and two steals per game. Only four players on the team shoot over 30% and only two shoot over 40% (one of those only has hit 11 shots this year). Omaha by comparison, despite the slow week they just came through, has eight over 30% and five over 40% with three of those at 50% or higher! I think of Jamie Nash as having a rough shooting year, yet Nash’s 32.4% shooting is fantastic compared to the 24% shooting of starting guard Jackie Jones for the Cougars.

      Things aren’t any better from three where only two players have more than four threes on the year and they are sitting at 24.2% (Tierra Williams) and 25% (Jazzmyn Harvey). Again by comparison Omaha has four players with four or more threes and their percentages range from 22.4% (Nash) to 41.4% (Blair-Mobley).

      It’s been a rapid fall for Chicago State who just two years ago went 24-10 and won two games in the WBI before losing 93-92 at Cal State Bakersfield. They went 6-24 last year. Coach Angela Jackson has been there for nine seasons and definitely has her hands full with this team, but success may come in the future, this is a young team with just two upperclassmen, both seniors, who combine for 20% of their minutes and only 14% of their starts.

      Last time out vs. Utah Valley they got 12 points form Paris Williams and Jackie Jones but went 0-11 from three and just 15-59 from the field in the 71-38 loss. They were outrebounded by 20 and saw Sammie Jensen go 10-15 for 22 points and grab 13 rebounds against them. The Mavericks have to be excited to get back on track tonight and really should win this one going away.

      Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
      N/A – Indiana Northwest (67-44)

      Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
      75 – @ Missouri (55-88)89 – @ Hampton (35-87)106 – @ Northern Iowa (41-81)108 – @ Rice (42-68)120 – @ Indiana St. (35-69)126 – Miami (OH) (37-71)128 – @ Northwestern (38-82)147 – Akron (45-86)170 – @ Western Ill. (52-87)211 – Wisc. Milwaukee (58-82)300 – @ Drake (39-67)301 – @ Loyola (IL) (43-81)304 – @ West. Michigan (38-80)307 – Southern Ill. (66-69)313 – @ Utah Valley (38-71)
      N/A – Central Methodist (48-50)

      Lots of road games but plenty of blowout home losses to teams with RPI’s well lower than Omaha.

      Omaha vs. Chicago State

      Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
      Omaha 41.4% 34.1% 68.9% 0.893 0.824 23.2 0.865 58.0% 36.3% 30.9% 24.0 52.3% 36.5% 66.8% 3.1
      Chicago State 28.8% 22.4% 61.6% 0.606 0.993 28.2 0.386 46.0% 43.5% 31.0% 24.0 41.8% 32.2% 52.5% 3.5
      Favors.. Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Tie Omaha Omaha Omaha Chicago State

      Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League.

      Chicago State is better in blocks and as good in opposing turnover rate. A lot of the other numbers are extremely poor. Notice the shooting percentages (29% overall, 22% from three) and the defensive rebounding percentage (52.5%) especially.

      Starters
      Chicago State
      Guard – Jackie Jones – 5-5 – Sophomore – Detroit, Michigan – Averaging 7.1 points, 3.6 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 2.0 steals.
      Guard – Caneka Davis – 5-5 – Senior – Chicago, Illinois – Averaging 1.3 points and 1.9 rebounds.
      Forward – Jasmine Collins – 6-0 – Sophomore – Richton Park, Illinois – Averaging 7.1 points and 3.0 rebounds.
      Forward – Layne Murphy – 6-2 – Freshman – County Club Hills, Illinois – Averaging 5.1 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks.
      Forward – Paris Williams – 6-0 – Sophomore – St. Louis, Missouri – Averaging 6.8 points and 3.1 rebounds.

      Omaha
      Point Guard – Jamie Nash – 5-4 – Senior – Verona, Missouri – Averaging 9.6 points, 3.6 rebounds, 7.2 assists, and 3.6 steals.
      Guard – Carly Cator – 5-9 – Senior – Lakewood, Colorado – Averaging 1.8 points and 3.1 rebounds.
      Guard – Paige Frauendorfer – 6-0 – Senior – Humphrey, Nebraska – Averaging 13.1 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 1.5 steals.
      Guard – Carolyn Blair-Mobley – 5-10 – Senior – St. Paul, Minnesota – Averaging 12.4 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 2.0 assists.
      Center – Taijhe Kelly – 6-4 – Sophomore – Carson, California – Averaging 4.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 blocks.

      Three Things to Watch
      1) Omaha has to start shooting well… right? – Omaha has had some bad shooting performances lately (30.8% @ Western Illinois, 35.2% @ IUPUI, 35.1% @ South Dakota, 34.8% @ Kansas City). Notice those were all on the road right? Perhaps leaving the friendly background of the Sapp Fieldhouse has contributed to the woes. Either way, tonight is a night where Omaha will have no excuses and should shoot the ball well against a team that hasn’t really been able to stop many people this year.

      2.) Dominance inside – We covered the stats some above, Chicago State allows opponents to shoot 48.5% inside the arc (Omaha shoots 43.4%). Chicago State shoots only 29.9% inside the arc (Omaha allows 39.3%). Chicago State only grabs 41.8% of available rebounds (Omaha grabs 52.3%). All the numbers point to a big advantage inside for Omaha and the Mavericks will look to exploit it with their post players and driving guards. Hopefully easy baskets in the paint can help get the Mavericks going.

      3.) Bench minutes – Omaha’s bench players don’t traditionally get a ton of minutes. Sure Ericka House is usually in more of the game than Carly Cator and both Casse Vaughn and Stacia Gebers take a good chunk of Taijhe Kelly’s minutes, but the Mavericks don’t turn to the bench at all outside of those three. Tonight could be a chance to get those three some more minutes and to get Myhiah Dotzler, Allison Jackson, and Kate Bayes some minutes, and hopefully not at the end of a blowout loss this time!

      Prediction
      Omaha wins big, 78-40. Paige breaks back out with 24.
      Massey – Not available at this time.
      RealTimeRPI – Omaha wins 62-61.

      January 12, 2013

      2012-13 Omaha Swimming and Diving – Event #12 Preview – Illinois State

      Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Swimming and Diving — Jon Green @ 10:00 am

      Omaha got a big 174-124 win at Northern Iowa on Friday night and now they’ll look to get a 2nd win this weekend with another dual meet on Saturday at Illinois State (2 PM). The Redbirds are in the Missouri Valley Conference and have beaten teams such as Illinois, Truman State, Evansville, and Northern Iowa (182-110) this year. Their last event was the Copa Coqui Swim Invitational in Puerto Rico last Saturday where they finished 5th.

      Omaha and Illinois State met last year in October in HPER and the Redbirds were 177.5-122.5 victors. Last year Omaha lost 176.5-119.5 @ Northern Iowa so they may fare a lot better this season if they were to make up a similar amount of ground as they did against Northern Iowa.  I’ll provide my projections and projected winners/runner-ups for Omaha based on Omaha’s times from the meet last night and Illinois State’s from their dual meet with Illinois.

      50 Yard Freestyle – Projected Illinois State 15-4
      100 Yard Freestyle – Projected Illinois State 16-3
      200 Yard Freestyle – Projected Illinois State 16-3
      500 Yard Freestyle – Projected Illinois State 16-3
      1000 Yard Freestyle – Projected Illinois State 16-3
      100 Yard Butterfly – Projected Illinois State 13-6
      200 Yard Butterfly – Projected Illinois State 13-6
      100 Yard Backstroke – Projected Omaha 10-9
      200 Yard Backstroke – Projected Omaha 10-9
      100 Yard Breaststroke – Projected Illinois State 16-3
      200 Yard Breaststroke – Projected Illinois State 16-3
      200 Yard IM – Projected Illinois State 16-3
      200 Yard Freestyle Relay – Projected Illinois State 13-4
      200 Yard Medley Relay – Projected Illinois State 15-2
      1 Meter Diving – Projected Illinois State 16-2
      3 Meter Diving – Projected Illinois State 16-2

      Projected Omaha winners:
      Natalie Renshaw – 100 Yard Backstroke, 200 Yard Backstroke

      Projected Omaha runner-ups:
      Christen Young – 200 Yard Butterfly

      Well those projections aren’t pretty for Omaha giving them a 231-67 loss and seven events where Illinois State goes 1-2-3 along with a 1-2 in the 200 Yard Medley Relay. Omaha’s best chance to win seems to the 100 and 200 yard backstroke where freshman Natalie Renshaw has been superb.
      I’m interested to see if this projection is remotely close to what happens because the numbers behind this showed some big gaps in time in most of those 16-3 events.

      January 11, 2013

      2012-13 Omaha Women’s Basketball – Game 16 Preview – Western Illinois

      Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Women's Basketball — Jon Green @ 9:33 pm

      Omaha Women's Basketball Preview Western Illinois - 1-12-13

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      Omaha struggled offensively in a 49-60 loss at IUPUI on Thursday. The Mavericks will look to rebound in a Saturday afternoon game at Western Illinois. The Leathernecks have had some struggles of their own getting blown out in each of their last two Summit League games, 80-49 at Fort Wayne and 55-36 @ IUPUI. Still Western Illinois is undefeated at home and Omaha probably won’t cruise in this one. Western Illinois also had a confidence builder midweek as they beat Chicago State 87-52 on Tuesday.

      Western Illinois
      The Leathernecks lost four of their first five as they played a lot of early road games, after that they got hot winning six of seven before dropping the two road games in Indiana the last two weekends. The Leathernecks play at a fairly up-tempo pace and are a good shooting team who have put up 70+ on six occasions. They can also play some defense as they’ve held seven teams under 60 points.  They are a little sloppy with the ball and aren’t a great rebounding team.

      Their leading scorer is senior guard Saule Kontautaite who is from Lithuania. Kontautaite is a 45% shooter and averages 14.3 per game, 5th in the Summit League. She’s gone for 20+ in four games including their Summit League win at Oakland where she had 24. Michelle Maher, a freshman guard, has averaged 10.9 points and has scored in double figures nine games already including three of 20+. Her season high of 23 was in a home win over Bradley. Maher and Kontautaite both shoot a good amount of 3’s (98 and 99 a piece) but aren’t fantastic shooters from deep.

      Ashley Luke, a senior forward, has averaged 5.8 rebounds and 7.3 points and has gone for 10+ in 3 games including a 12 rebound 10 point double-double vs. Bradley. Michelle Salvatori, another senior forward, averages 5.3 rebounds and 6.5 points.  The final starter is Rebecca Henricson, a junior guard from Sweden, who averages 3.6 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 3.5 assists. Off the bench Western Illinois brings their best shooter from deep, Charnelle Reed, a freshman guard who shoots 44% from 3 is and 3rd on the team with 20 3’s.

      Western Illinois likes to use their bench players and the five starters average between 20 and 29.9 minutes while Reed along with Jackie Rieger, Karis Phillips, and Rachel Evans all average 11.8+ minutes off the bench. In their win over Chicago State, Western Illinois had six players score in double figures, none with more than 13 though (Saule Kontautaite). They shot 47% from the field and 45% from 3 (three Leathernecks hit three 3FG). Western Illinois had 25 assists on their 33 made FGs.

      In the blowout loss to Fort Wayne, Western Illinois shot 28% and just 33% from 3 while letting Fort Wayne catch fire to the tune of 49% shooting (52% from 3). Western Illinois had 20 turnovers, just like they did at IUPUI the next weekend where they again were cold (23%, 1-14 from 3). IUPUI wasn’t as good from the field (only 33%) but they did grab 15 offensive rebounds and 12 steals.

      Head coach JD Gravina will be hoping that the team who played against Chicago State is who he gets on Saturday. Gravina is 20-26 at Western Illinois in his two seasons. He was previously the head coach at Quincy where he went 93-28 in four seasons. Western Illinois has been a solid program in the past but fell on hard times. They haven’t won more than 14 games since 2005-06, but with a strong finish in conference play they should surpass that mark.

      Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com – BOLD = Summit League
      142 – Bradley (92-81)
      180 – Eastern Illinois (70-68)
      204 – Valparaiso (69-55)
      232 – @ Oakland (81-73)
      283 – @ Loyola (IL) (65-61)
      331 – Chicago St. (87-52)
      N/A – Clarke (85-35)
      N/A – William Woods (70-53)

      Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com – BOLD = Summit League
      34 – @ Iowa St. (65-84)
      75 – @ Missouri (61-70)
      160 – @ IUPUI (36-55)
      181 – @ SE Missouri St. (47-56)
      197 – @ SIU-Edwardsville (58-68)
      206 – @ Saint Louis (44-55)
      289 – @ IPFW (49-80)

      Western Illinois has been very good at home this year and has a couple of top 200 wins there. They have been mostly poor away from home but it’s noteworthy that only two of those losses were to sub 200 teams, and Saint Louis is 206. I’m also noticing the margins in some of these Summit losses (19 to IUPUI, 31 to Fort Wayne).

      Omaha vs. Western Illinois

      Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
      Omaha 42.0% 34.0% 68.2% 0.906 0.805 23.0 0.897 59.0% 35.7% 29.2% 24.0 52.5% 37.2% 66.8% 3.1
      WIU 40.6% 33.1% 66.2% 0.865 0.862 23.9 0.865 63.0% 39.9% 31.6% 23.0 48.7% 28.5% 69.4% 4.1
      Favors.. Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha WIU Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha WIU WIU

      Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League.

      Only three area’s Western Illinois is better in – A/B% (Assists/FG), Def Reb% (Omaha’s worst stat), and blocks. Omaha is among the top 3 in the league in nine of the 15 categories I track here.

      Starters
      Western Illinois
      Guard – Michelle Maher – 5-9 – Freshman – Park Ridge, Illinois – Averaging 10.9 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 2.7 assists.
      Guard – Rebecca Henricson – 5-6 – Junior – Lidingo, Sweden – Averaging 3.6 points, 3.2 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 1.7 steals.
      Guard – Saule Kontautaite – 5-9 – Senior – Berciunai, Lithuania – Averaging 14.3 points, 2.9 rebounds.
      Forward – Ashley Luke – 6-1 – Senior – Oak Creek, Wisconsin – Averaging 7.3 points, 5.8 rebounds.
      Forward – Michele Salvatori – 5-10 – Senior – Rock Falls, Illinois – Averaging 6.5 points and 5.3 rebounds.

      Omaha
      Point Guard – Jamie Nash – 5-4 – Senior – Verona, Missouri – Averaging 10.1 points, 3.7 rebounds, 7.5 assists, and 3.7 steals.
      Guard – Carly Cator – 5-9 – Senior – Lakewood, Colorado – Averaging 1.8 points and 3.3 rebounds.
      Guard – Paige Frauendorfer – 6-0 – Senior – Humphrey, Nebraska – Averaging 13.7 points, 8.9 rebounds, and 1.8 steals.
      Guard – Carolyn Blair-Mobley – 5-10 – Senior – St. Paul, Minnesota – Averaging 11.9 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 2.1 assists.
      Center – Taijhe Kelly – 6-4 – Sophomore – Carson, California – Averaging 4.5 points, 3.0 rebounds and 1.7 blocks.

      Three Things to Watch
      1) Can Omaha start fast? Or even normal? Can they stay consistent all game? – Omaha has scored more points in the 2nd half than in the 1st half in 10 of 15 games this season. They seem to get out of the gate slow and has trailed at the half in five of their last six D1 games. Additionally Omaha has been held below 25 points in six halves this season. Those kind of scoring slumps can really hurt this team and not surprisingly Omaha is 2-4 when they have a half below 25 points. Those two wins were the OT win over Northern Arizona where Omaha blew an 11 point halftime lead and the big win over Kansas city where Omaha played fantastic defense in the 2nd half and pulled away. If Omaha wants a win in Macomb on Saturday starting well and not slumping for a while could be the key.

      2.) Shooting Slumps! – Ericka House is 5-18 in the last two games, Jamie Nash is 4-16 in the last two games and has only been over 50% from the field in two games this season. Carolyn Blair-Mobley is 6-22 in the last two games (1-9 from 3). Paige Frauendorfer busted out of her slump against Fort Wayne and has carried the Mavericks the last two games by going 13-22. They’ll need her to continue her strong shooting and stay on the court long enough to take double figure shots. Additionally someone else needs to hit some shots on Saturday. Vaughn and Kelly could provide some scoring as well but if Omaha isn’t a threat from outside they won’t be as effective. Omaha had only two 3FG against IUPUI for the first time since 1/19/12 against Concordia, a streak of 21 straight games.

      3.) Rebounding advantage – Omaha has won the rebound category in ten games this year but lost it in on Thursday and has lost it in three of their four losses. If Omaha loses the battle on Saturday that’s a problem considering they are 3rd in the Summit in Reb% and Western Illinois is 6th. Omaha gets a lot of their rebounds on the offensive side and that can help them through some shooting woes at time. On the defensive end we saw late in the IUPUI game what a problem defensive rebounding can be at times for Omaha as they gave up several offensive rebounds when they needed a stop most of all. Saturday they should have an advantage and need to use that.

      Prediction
      I think Omaha will win on Saturday. Western Illinois has shown some flaws in the Summit League already and Omaha will be ready to show that Thursday night was not the way they are going to play consistently. Omaha will hit shots on Saturday and play stronger on defense. I’m going to take Omaha fairly big, 67-55.
      Massey – Western Illinois wins 62-60.
      RealTimeRPI – Western Illinois wins 63-60.

      2012-13 Omaha Men’s Basketball – Game 20 Preview – Western Illinois

      Filed under: Men's Basketball,Omaha Mavericks,Previews — Jon Green @ 8:04 pm

      Omaha Men's Basketball Preview IUPUI - 1-9-13

      Live Stats
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      Live Audio (Western Illinois call – Beau Spencer & Josh Gleason)

      Omaha shot over 60% from the field and put 90 points up on Thursday, it seems unlikely they’ll come close to those marks in a matchup with the best defensive team in the Summit League on Saturday. Western Illinois comes to town 13-3 on the year, 5-0 in the Summit League and on a 10 game winning streak. The Leathernecks have only given up 70 points once this year, a 73-71 win over South Dakota in the Dakota Dome. Omaha played Western Illinois twice last year losing 81-70 in Omaha and ending the season with a 72-51 loss in Macomb.

      Western Illinois
      Western Illinois took South Dakota State to OT in the Summit League final last year before losing 52-50, just missing out on the NCAA Tournament. This is a team that came back this year confident and ready to make a push for their first NCAA Tournament berth. They are led by seniors Ceola Clark III and Terell Parks who each provide something different to this team. Clark is an extremely talented guard who shoots 44% from the field and from 3. Clark averages 12.1 points and 3.4 rebounds while grabbing 4.4 assists with a 2.4 assist to turnover ratio. He also grabs 1.6 steals per game.

      Parks is a 6-8 post player who is shooting 56% from the field and grabs 9.3 rebounds per game. He’s a fantastic shot blocker who gets 2.9 blocks per game, 12th in the country. Parks has five double-doubles and has done so in two straight games. Parks went 11-11 from the field on Wednesday to score 22 points. It’s worth noting that Parks averages over 3 fouls per game and has fouled out of two games and had four fouls in four others. Perhaps Omaha can get him in some foul trouble.

      Another post player, 6-6 junior Adam Link, is putting up 9.6 points a game and grabs 3.6 rebounds. Don McAvoy III, a 6-6 senior forward, averages 8 points and 3.8 rebounds while Jack Houpt, a 6-7 senior forward, grabs 3.8 rebounds and puts up 7.2 points per game. This is a strong team inside that will give Omaha problems.

      Western Illinois likes to play a slow down style and averages just 58.3 possessions a game, 347th in the country. On defense they are 31st in defensive points per possession and they allow only a 38.2% FG%, 24th in the country. On offense they are the 34th best shooting team in the country (47.1%) and 19th from 3 (39.3%).

      Measuring success against Western Illinois has to be done tempo-free. Three teams this year have scored more than 1 point per possession against the Leathernecks. Oakland with 1.01 (63), SIU Edwardsville with 1.06 (62), and South Dakota with 1.08 (71). Any kind of outing over 60 points by Omaha would be a great performance.

      Western Illinois started a little slow trading wins and losses on the way to a 3-3 record. They have avenged two of their losses (@ SIU Edwardsville and @ Savannah State) when those teams came to Macomb for return games. The other loss was @ Evansville. They are just 3-3 on the year on the road and haven’t traveled since 12/5 at Eastern Illinois.

      Western Illinois is coached by Jim Molinari, 60-78 in his five seasons at the school. They seem to be steadily improving and are just six wins away from topping their season high over the last 20 years.

      Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
      100 – Illinois-Chicago (70-54)
      139 – Savannah St. (39-35)
      144 – Oakland (73-63)
      194 – @ South Dakota (73-71)
      207 – (Neutral) Yale (59-47)
      229 – (Neutral) Buffalo (67-58)
      262 – IUPUI (57-53)
      263 – @ Mizzou KC (68-63)
      285 – SIU-Edwardsville (55-38)
      290 – IPFW (62-50)
      304 – @ Eastern Illinois (57-45)
      N/A – Wabash (71-39)
      N/A – Greenville (95-48)

      Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
      108 – @ Evansville (44-49)
      139 – @ Savannah St. (38-39)
      285 – @ SIU-Edwardsville (50-62)

      All the losses on the road and only SIU-Edwardsville has a bad RPI. Western Illinois’s best road win was at South Dakota and they have some pretty decent home wins, especially the 16 point win over Illinois-Chicago.

      Omaha vs. Western Illinois

      Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
      Omaha 45.5% 35.6% 67.1% 0.937 1.152 21.9 0.803 52.0% 48.8% 38.2% 17.0 45.9% 24.8% 61.7% 2.7
      WIU 47.1% 39.3% 66.0% 0.986 0.872 20.5 1.026 57.0% 38.2% 32.6% 19.0 53.5% 28.3% 73.0% 4.9
      Favors.. WIU WIU Omaha WIU WIU WIU WIU WIU WIU WIU WIU WIU WIU WIU WIU

      Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League.

      Omaha is better at FTs (not that they are good at them… just better). Western Illinois is better at EVERYTHING ELSE. This is not a good breakdown for Omaha. Still gotta play the game on the court though.

      Starters
      Western Illinois
      Guard – Ceola Clark – 6-3 – Senior – Gurnee, Illinois – Averaging 12.1 points, 3.4 rebounds, 4.4 assists, and 1.6 steals.
      Guard – Remy Roberts-Burnett – 6-0 – Sophomore – Joliet, Illinois – Averaging 4.3 points and 2.1 assists.
      Forward – Jack Houpt – 6-7 – Senior – Chesterton, Indiana – Averaging 7.2 points and 3.8 rebounds.
      Forward – Adam Link – 6-6 – Junior – Elbert, Colorado – Averaging 9.6 points and 3.6 rebounds.
      Center – Terell Parks – 6-7 – Senior – Beloit, Wisconsin – Averaging 13.6 points, 9.3 rebounds, and 2.9 blocks.

      Omaha
      Point Guard – CJ Carter – 6-0 – Sophomore – Omaha, Nebraska – Averaging 8.3 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists.
      Guard – Alex Phillips – 6-3 – Junior – Smiths Station, Alabama – Averaging 8.8 points and 2.2 rebounds.
      Guard – Justin Simmons – 6-3 – Junior – Milwaukee, Wisconsin – Averaging 14.6 points and 4.0 rebounds.
      Forward – Alex Welhouse – 6-7 – Senior – Kaukauna, Wisconsin – Averaging 7.5 points and 4.7 rebounds.
      Center – John Karhoff – 6-8 – Junior – Omaha, Nebraska – Averaging 11.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

      Three Things to Watch
      1) Dealing with pace – This is an interesting topic for tomorrow. The pace will not be anywhere near where Omaha would love to play tomorrow. The only Western Illinois game over 65 possessions was the game against Greenville (non-D1) and that was because Greenville was not good with the ball. Omaha has only had 65 or less in two games, Denver and Chicago State. In a game with less possessions there aren’t as many chances to make up for your mistakes. Leads can be bigger than they seem since chances are fewer down the stretch. Omaha will need to avoid falling far behind because Western Illinois is going to be tough to come back on. Omaha needs to not worry too much about the pace and play their game on offense. Taking good looks is imperative though and not being sloppy with the ball. Patience, but not letting them completely dictate the way you play.

      2.) Omaha’s Shooting – This is the real test for Omaha. They’ve been red hot lately and are putting up great numbers. Is there any way they can do this against Western Illinois? Western Illinois is not inept offensively, a good shooting team that has been over 1 ppp in 10 of their 16 games, so I expect them to put up some points. If Omaha’s not shooting well they will have a hard time in this one.

      3.) Alex Welhouse – Welhouse is 0-7 from 3 in the last two games but has hit two 3’s or more in 11 games this season. Omaha could really use some triples from Welhouse and playing against a Western Illinois team that has a lot of good post players Welhouse shooting well from the outside could really help Omaha spread the court. Welhouse has a season high of just 14 points (when he hit 4 3’s vs. Nebraska). Last year he had 17 against Western Illinois in Omaha hitting 3 triples. Hope we can see something like that again.

      Prediction
      I don’t think Omaha can get this one. Western Illinois is playing really well and with their offensive and defensive numbers they could really put a big whooping on Omaha. Thankfully Omaha is playing well too so I think they’ll avoid the blowout and lose this one 75-63. Karhoff will probably be a lot quieter in this one but look for the guards to have some success if they can knock down some 3’s.

      I do also want to note that Western Illinois needed OT to beat IUPUI at home last Saturday. Blueprint for success there? IUPUI went 8-17 from 3 to score 45% of their points. Hope Omaha can hit those triples because this is a real tough team to shoot inside against. Also limit turnovers and hit the boards as hard as you can.

      Massey – Western Illinois wins 71-59.
      RealTimeRPI – Western Illinois wins 58-57.

      2012-13 Omaha Swimming and Diving – Event #11 Preview – Northern Iowa

      Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Swimming and Diving — Jon Green @ 6:00 pm

      Omaha hasn’t been in a swimming competition since a 166-122 win over South Dakota State on 12/8, but they get back in the pool Friday night in Cedar Falls, Iowa against Northern Iowa. Omaha already beat Northern Iowa 149-145 in a home meet earlier this year. Last year Omaha lost in Cedar Falls 176.5-119.5.

      Here’s the top times for each team this year in the various events (taken from collegeswimming.com) along with the points they picked up in Omaha. I am still trying to figure out how these things work. That 149-145 Omaha win against Northern Iowa featured 49 points that Northern Iowa won in the final three swimming events uncontested. Do teams just typically enter their swimmers as exhibition swimmers once they are up so far they can’t lose? It doesn’t seem to happen in every meet. I haven’t found any info on these things, so if anyone knows more please let me know!

      50 Yard Freestyle – Omaha won 16-3
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 22.05 A, 22.99 B
      23.96 – Natalie Renshaw – Omaha
      24.33 – Cami Hansberry – Omaha
      24.93 – Anna Haxby – Omaha
      25.24 – Miki Freese – Northern Iowa
      25.48 – Elise Drewson – Northern Iowa
      25.51 – Sierra Sachtjen – Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 16-3)

      100 Yard Freestyle – Omaha won 13-6
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 48.03 A, 49.99 B
      53.40 – Natalie Renshaw – Omaha
      54.63 – Whitney Korgan – Omaha
      54.83 – Hannah Johnson – Omaha
      55.50 – Lindsey Phelps – Northern Iowa
      55.61 – Sierra Sachtjen – Northern Iowa
      56.01 – Elise Drewson – Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 16-3)

      200 Yard Freestyle – Omaha won 12-7
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 1:43.99 A, 1:47:99 B
      1:57.52 – Natalie Renshaw – Omaha
      1:58.17 – Sierra Sachtjen – Northern Iowa
      1:58.39 – Erin Wright – Omaha
      1:59.32 – Hannah Johnson – Omaha
      2:00.52 – Ashley Nelson – Northern Iowa
      2:00.75 – Rebecca Ortmann – Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 14-5)

      500 Yard Freestyle – Omaha won 14-5
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 4:38.13 A, 4:47:79 B
      5:19.44 – Christen Young – Omaha
      5:23.36 – Lexi Bergeron – Omaha
      5:23.58 – Taylor Ostrowski – Northern Iowa
      5:23.97 – Mattea Fosbender – Omaha
      5:24.27 – Rebecca Ortmann – Northern Iowa
      5:28.40 – Reva Bork –Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 14-5)

      1000 Yard Freestyle – Omaha won 13-6
      10:58.64 – Reva Bork – Northern Iowa
      11:01.25 – Taylor Ostrowksi – Northern Iowa
      11:10.98 – Allison Hobbs – Northern Iowa
      11:25.89 – Lexi Bergeron – Omaha
      12:21.72 – Claire Alexander – Omaha
      12:30.94 – Sarah Blount – Omaha
      (Projected Northern Iowa 16-3)

      100 Yard Butterfly – Northern Iowa won 16-0 (3 Omaha swimmers entered as exhibition)
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 52.11 A, 54:49 B
      1:00.36 – Cami Hansberry – Omaha
      1:00.47 – Taylor Ostrowski – Northern Iowa
      1:00.78 – Jenna Foiles – Omaha
      1:00.98 – Lindsey Phelps – Northern Iowa
      1:01.88 – Christen Young – Omaha
      1:02.24 – Kayla McCormick – Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 13-6)

      200 Yard Butterfly – Northern Iowa won 14-5
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 1:54.60 A, 1:59:59 B
      2:09.61 – Taylor Ostrowski – Northern Iowa
      2:16.88 – Lindsey Phelps – Northern Iowa
      2:17.47 – Christen Young – Omaha
      2:19.77 – Jessica Nemesi – Northern Iowa
      2:21.24 – Kayla McCormick – Northern Iowa
      2:25.25 – Hannah Alexander – Omaha
      2:27.01 – Morgan Cullison – Omaha
      (Projected Northern Iowa 15-4)

      100 Yard Backstroke – Omaha won 14-5
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 52.13 A, 55:09 B
      59.70 – Natalie Renshaw – Omaha
      1:01.52 – Natalie Johnson – Northern Iowa
      1:01.63 – Sierra Sachtjen – Northern Iowa
      1:01.90 – Ashley Kneifl – Omaha
      1:02.87 – Christen Young – Omaha
      1:03.48 – Miki Freese – Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 12-7)

      200 Yard Backstroke – Omaha won 12-7
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 1:53.17 A, 1:59:19 B
      2:14.18 – Natalie Johnson – Northern Iowa
      2:19.33 – Jody Petersen – Northern Iowa
      2:19.41 – Victoria Schab – Omaha
      2:20.53 – Ashley Kneifl – Omaha
      2:20.60 – Allison Hobbs – Northern Iowa
      2:32.74 – Sarah Blount – Omaha
      (Projected Northern Iowa 14-5)

      100 Yard Breaststroke – Omaha won 16-3
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 59.51 A, 1:02:49 B
      1:06.15 – Maddie Hutt – Omaha
      1:08.22 – Hannah Alexander – Omaha
      1:08.96 – Erin Wright – Omaha
      1:10.29 – Sarah Hedeen – Northern Iowa
      1:11.37 – Stephanie Pappe – Northern Iowa
      1:11.97 – Caryn Knight – Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 16-3)

      200 Yard Breaststroke – Omaha won 13-6
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 2:08.70 A, 2:15:99 B
      2:33.99 – Sarah Hedeen – Northern Iowa
      2:34.15 – Hannah Alexander – Omaha
      2:35.54 – Stephanie Pappe – Northern Iowa
      2:39.33 – Caryn Knight – Northern Iowa
      2:43.21 – Jordane Linhart – Omaha
      2:53.37 – Morgan Cullison – Omaha
      (Projected Northern Iowa 14-5)

      200 Yard IM – Northern Iowa won 16-0 (3 Omaha swimmers entered as exhibition)
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 1:55.96 A, 2:01:59 B
      2:15.36 – Hannah Alexander – Omaha
      2:15.63 – Erin Wright – Omaha
      2:16.30 – Christen Young – Omaha
      2:17.54 – Caryn Knight – Northern Iowa
      2:20.10 – Taylor Ostrowski – Northern Iowa
      2:24.55 – Rhenetta Bork – Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 16-3)

      200 Yard Freestyle Relay – Northern Iowa won 17-0 (3 Omaha teams entered as exhibition)
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 1:29803 qualifying, 1:30:62 provisional
      1:37.57 – Omaha
      1:41.28 – Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 11-4)

      200 Yard Medley Relay – Omaha won 15-2
      NCAA Qualifying Times – 1:38.42 qualifying , 1:39:14 provisional
      1:51.24 – Omaha
      1:52.95 – Northern Iowa
      (Projected Omaha 11-4)

      1 Meter Diving – Northern Iowa won 16-3
      NCAA Qualifying Standard – 265

      3 Meter Diving – Northern Iowa won 16-3
      NCAA Qualifying Standard – 280

      If we sum the projections we’d get Omaha 156, Northern Iowa 102 though diving should go heavily for Northern Iowa and I can’t find season highs.

      Seems like a meet Omaha could win again.  We’ll see how it goes tonight.

      2012-13 Omaha Track and Field – Event #2 Preview – Dordt College Indoor Invitational

      Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Track and Field — Jon Green @ 12:00 pm

      Live Info (If Any)

      It’s hard to tell exactly who will be in the Dordt College Indoor Invitational on Saturday, but it does appear on several teams schedules… so we have a good idea what the field will look like.

      • Dordt
      • Mt. Marty
      • Morningside
      • Briar Cliff
      • Northwestern College
      • Dakota Wesleyan
      • Sioux Falls
      • Dakota State
      • Wayne State
      • Omaha

      We don’t have results from most of the teams to compare at all, but Sioux Falls, Dakota State, and Wayne State have some recorded results from earlier this year.

      Here’s the numbers for those teams so far this year in the events that Omaha has competed in. This way we can compare Omaha in each event. Additionally I’ve listed the top three marks from last year’s Dordt College Open to see what kind of marks might be necessary to win. Finally I’ve bolded the Omaha School record for each event.

      Women’s Long Jump – 5.35m/5.21m/5.19m – SR 6.11m
      5.94m – Sami Spenner – Omaha
      5.85m – Jazzelena Black – Sioux Falls
      5.31m – Sidney Blum – Wayne St.
      5.26m – Dani Moyer – Sioux Falls
      5.16m – Lindsey Elston – Sioux Falls
      5.08m – Morgan Swanson – Wayne St.
      5.02m – Nicole Josephsen – Sioux Falls
      4.90m – Becca Bedard – Sioux Falls
      4.85m – Stephanie Baumgart – Wayne St.
      4.75m – Jessica Ripp – Omaha
      4.32m – Amanda Alexander – Omaha

      In this even it looks like Sami Spenner has a petty good chance at winning or at least medaling.

      Women’s Triple Jump – 10.88m/10.43m/10.36m – SR 13.76m
      12.54m – Sami Spenner – Omaha
      11.60m – Jazzelena Black – Sioux Falls
      11.59m – Kristen Townley – Sioux Falls
      11.26m – Sidney Blum – Wayne St.
      10.88m – Morgan Swanson – Wayne St.
      10.47m – Jessica Ripp – Omaha
      10.31m – Lindsey Elston – Sioux Falls
       9.11m – Amanda Alexander – Omaha

      Sami Spenner looks a good bet to win the triple jump as well.

      Women’s Weight Throw – 14.69m/12.62m/12.15m – SR 17.07m
      18.48m – Carly Fehringer – Wayne St.
      17.85m – Emily Wells – Wayne St.
      17.73m – Lachel Milander – Wayne St.
      16.03m – Kyndra Sturm – Wayne St.
      15.57m – Sara Wells – Wayne St.
      15.32m – Marissa Whipple – Sioux Falls
      14.56m – Hannah Steele – Sioux Falls
      14.42m – Mackenzie Maching – Wayne St.
      13.34m – Rachel Kruse – Sioux Falls
      12.65m – Kaylee McMacken – Sioux Falls
      12.51m – Elizabeth Thompson – Omaha
      12.02m – Callan Sawtelle – Sioux Falls
      11.26m – Haley Hinseth – Sioux Falls
      10.85m – Shayna Dwyer – Dakota State

      Doesn’t look like much chance here as Wayne State has some amazing throwers apparently. I was a little unsure that data was legit because of how much better their distances are… who knows.

      Women’s 55m Dash – All times * for 60m Dash – 7.41/7.49/7.51 ~ 8.08/8.17/8.19 – SR 7.02
      8.08 – DeAndra Richardson – Sioux Falls*
      8.16 – Dani Moyer – Sioux Falls*
      8.29 – Leah Wensmann – Sioux Falls*
      8.30 – Kendra Knight – Sioux Falls*
      8.37 – Brooke Stetzler – Sioux Falls*
      8.50 – Jessica Ripp – Omaha*
      8.52 – Becca Bedard – Sioux Falls*
      8.61 – Stephanie Baumgart – Wayne St.*
      8.69 – Megan Svitak – Wayne St.
      8.87 – Amanda Alexander – Omaha*
      8.87 – Miranda Felton – Wayne St.

      Looks unlikely here as Sioux Falls has a group of good sprinters.

      Women’s 55m Hurdles – All times * for 60m Hurdles – 8.38/8.77/9.15 ~ 9.14/9.57/9.98 – SR 7.99
      8.95 – Sami Spenner – Omaha*

      9.29 – Katlin Sawtelle – Sioux Falls*
      9.29 – Lexi Guhl – Wayne St.*
      9.68 – Summer Bronson – Dakota State*

      This one might be a better shot as Sami Spenner has the best time of anyone I found coming into the meet. Her 60m hurdles time would have placed her 3rd in the 55m hurdles last year, so I think she can win this.

      Women’s 800m – 2:18.74/2:21.60/2:22.37 – SR 2:07.14
      2:35.87 – Michelle Gatewood – Omaha
      2:39.73 – Karo Garcia – Omaha

      No one to compare these two to, but their times are outside of the top three from last year by 13 seconds.

      Women’s 1 Mile – 5:32.50/5:32.88/5:38.59 – SR 4:59.22
      5:12.19 – Amanda Vorthmann – Omaha
      5:15.15 – Ashley Kildow – Omaha

      5:53.77 – Skyler Lippman – Wayne St.
      6:07.45 – Anastasia Asimakopoulos – Dakota State
      6:20.44 – Laura Camacho – Wayne St.
      6:39.25 – Amber Wiebenga – Dakota State

      The two Mavericks have the best time of the results I found and both are well (20 seconds) ahead of the top mark last year. 1-2 finish here seems possible.

      Women’s 3000m – 10:27.94/10:43.64/10:55.61 – SR 9:50.04
      11:10.80 – Kayla Fenske – Omaha

      No one to compare to but Fenske is 15 seconds behind the 3rd place mark from last year. Perhaps she could medal.

      These are the teams where I couldn’t find any results:
      Dordt – No Results
      Mt Marty – No Results
      Morningside – No Results
      Briar Cliff – No Results
      Northwestern College – No Results
      Dakota Wesleyan – No Results

      I’m going to try to do actual, legitimate previews of Track Meets… I have no idea if this will be remotely possible or helpful, but I’ll give it a whirl for now. Does knowing the previous results ahead of time give you some idea what the field might look like? We’ll see. Obviously season best marks aren’t going to be hit every week, but they do show capabilities at the least.

      January 10, 2013

      2012-13 Omaha Men’s Basketball – Game 19 Preview – IUPUI

      Filed under: Men's Basketball,Omaha Mavericks,Previews — Jon Green @ 10:00 am

      Omaha Men's Basketball Preview IUPUI - 1-9-13

      Live Stats
      Live Video ($8)
      Live Audio (IUPUI call)

      Omaha has now followed up the home win over Kansas City with two games where their opponents dropped 90+ on them. Defense has been a problem all year for the Mavericks with only three teams this year scoring less than 0.99 points per possession against Omaha. Those problems cropped up last week as Oakland scored 1.15 ppp and Fort Wayne was at 1.30 ppp. Omaha shot over 50% from the field in both games and lost anyways. In fact Omaha has shot over 50% three times this year and lost all three. Omaha now comes back home and where they have won three out of their five games and looks to get back on track against IUPUI. This is potentially a winnable game for Omaha and every win this year for Omaha is going to be cherished as they have only four wins with 13 games left.

      IUPUI
      IUPUI has had some success at the Division 1 level with 10 straight seasons at .500 or better from 2001-2011. I even remember hearing the name IUPUI when they went to the NCAA Tournament back in 2003 (losing 95-64 to Kentucky). Things have been moving downhill though as of late as IUPUI lost 11 games in 2009-10, 14 in 2010-11, 18 in 2011-12, and already 13 this season. Part of that has been some injuries that have knocked five players out at different times (Cortell Busby, Ian Chiles, Marcellus Barksdale, Mitchell Patton, and P.J. Hubert). Ian Chiles was picked to the preseason Summit League 2nd Team but has only played in four games and probably won’t return. Chiles averaged 10.3 points in the games he played. Mitchell Patton averages 13.1 points but has missed fives games and only started in 11. IUPUI doesn’t list him as a probable starter for tomorrow night.

      So what does IUPUI do well? How about hitting 3’s? The Jaguars shoot 37.3% form three and four players have hit 20+ 3’s. For comparison, Omaha has two players who have hit 20+ and one of those is sitting on 20 exactly (Justin Simmons). IUPUI does a good job with the ball as they are nearly even in assist/turnover ratio. IUPUI struggles in many of the same areas as Omaha, this being a matchup of the two worst rebounding teams in the Summit League. IUPUI also isn’t great on defense (1.114 ppp), so this is a game where Omaha can put some points up. Of course Omaha is even worse on defense and IUPUI is better than Omaha on offense… so even a good offensive game by Omaha will by no means lead to an easy win.

      John Hart is the leading scorer for IUPUI and at 14.2 ppg is 6th in the Summit. They depend on Donovan Gibbs for rebounds (6.1 rpg) and on Greg Rice for assists (3.3 apg). They have four players who hit at least one three per game and shoot 38% or better from 3 (John Hart – 38.8%, P.J. Hubert – 40%, Jordan Shanklin – 43.8%, and Greg Rice – 46.3%). They aren’t a great rebounding team and get 54% of their rebounds from the trio of Mitchell Patton, Donovan Gibbs, and Lyonell Gaines.

      Todd Howard is in his 2nd year at IUPUI after taking over when old head coach Ron Hunter left to take over Georgia State. Howard hasn’t been able to keep IUPUI at the level they had been at so far, but it’s still very early and injuries like they’ve had this year can dramatically alter seasons.

      In their last game against Western Illinois the Jaguars went to Macomb and took the Leathernecks to OT after a Lyonell Gaines layup with three seconds left in regulation. Western Illinois is on a ten game winning streak now, so there’s some reason to believe after they took them to OT. John Hart led the way with 14 points, Sean Esposito added 11 and Greg Rice had 10. IUPUI used only seven players in the game, depth becoming an issue for them when injuries mount. The Jaguars shot 47% from 3 and limited themselves to just 8 turnovers on 64 possessions but it wasn’t enough to overcome just 32% shooting from inside the arc, 42% (5-12) shooting from the FT line, and being out rebounded by 5.

      Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
      234 – @ Ball St. (77-68)
      265 – Utah Valley (67-54)
      289 – IPFW (88-74)
      292 – (Neutral) Bowling Green (80-66)
      N/A – Indiana East – 87-54
      N/A – Indiana Northwest – 65-59

      Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
      3 – @ Michigan (54-91)
      18 – @ Butler (55-87)
      28 – Indiana St. (61-75)
      64 – @ Maryland (63-81)
      106 – @ West. Kentucky (57-77)
      112 – @ Valparaiso (69-89)
      147 – Oakland (62-84)
      155 – Bradley (72-79)
      169 – @ Western Ill. (53-57)
      202 – @ South Dakota (68-88)
      243 – @ Kansas City (65-79)
      275 – (Neutral) North Texas (66-80)
      296 – (Neutral) Lamar (82-86)

      The first thing we notice is that IUPUI just hasn’t beaten any real good teams at all, their best win was a nine point win at Ball State. They have played a lot of good teams and haven’t lost a ton of games to bad teams, though neutral losses to North Texas and Lamar are not strong marks. They’ve already been on the road for three road Summit Games and that loss at Kansas City is another head scratcher (though that came on November 29th, a totally different era practically).

      Omaha vs. IUPUI

      Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
      Omaha 44.6% 35.6% 65.8% 0.920 1.158 21.8 0.780 52.0% 48.9% 37.7% 17.0 45.7% 24.9% 60.7% 2.7
      IUPUI 43.7% 37.3% 70.4% 0.952 1.114 19.3 0.992 52.0% 49.5% 37.9% 19.0 46.8% 26.5% 64.9% 2.1
      Favors.. Omaha IUPUI IUPUI IUPUI IUPUI IUPUI IUPUI Tie Omaha Omaha IUPUI IUPUI IUPUI IUPUI Omaha

      Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League.

      Omaha is a better shooting team, as good at assisting on their FGs, and better defensively at FG% (hard to believe!). Omaha also grabs more blocks. IUPUI is better at everything else, although neither team has a fantastic statistical profile. Both teams rank in the bottom three of seven of the categories above including four of the five defensive categories and all three rebounding categories.

      Starters
      IUPUI
      Guard – Greg Rice – 5-11 – Senior – Indianapolis, Indiana – Averaging 7.5 points and 3.2 assists.
      Guard – Sean Esposito – 6-3 – Senior – Indianapolis, Indiana – Averaging 5.8 points and 2.6 rebounds.
      Guard – John Hart – 6-1 – Senior – Beech Grove, Indiana – Averaging 14.2 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 2.2 assists.
      Forward – Lyonell Gaines – 6-6 – Sophomore – Louisville, Kentucky – Averaging 6.5 points and 5.2 rebounds.
      Forward – Donovan Gibbs – 6-7 –Junior – Louisville, Kentucky – Averaging 9.0 points and 6.1 rebounds.

      Omaha
      Point Guard – CJ Carter – 6-0 – Sophomore – Omaha, Nebraska – Averaging 7.4 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists.
      Guard – Alex Phillips – 6-3 – Junior – Smiths Station, Alabama – Averaging 8.6 points and 2.1 rebounds.
      Guard – Justin Simmons – 6-3 – Junior – Milwaukee, Wisconsin – Averaging 14.0 points and 3.8 rebounds.
      Forward – Alex Welhouse – 6-7 – Senior – Kaukauna, Wisconsin – Averaging 7.8 points and 4.8 rebounds.
      Center – John Karhoff – 6-8 – Junior – Omaha, Nebraska – Averaging 11.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

      Three Things to Watch
      1) Inside Opportunity – IUPUI has been beaten in the paint by an average of 34.0-23.1, and lost the battle in 14 of their 19 games including seven straight. They aren’t a great rebounding team either losing the rebound count by an average of 6.5 Sure these aren’t necessarily huge points of strength for Omaha, but they are opportunities. John Karhoff has shown his offensive ability in many games and Alex Welhouse has had some big games on the boards. Matt Hagerbaumer has had some good games off the bench and a couple dunks would be big tomorrow night.

      2.) Omaha’s Shooting – Omaha has been red hot from the field lately shooting over 50% in both games last weekend and 48.3% against Kansas City. Big shooting nights like that can help make up for defensive stumbles, so if they can continue to knock down baskets they should be in decent shape to hang with IUPUI tomorrow.

      3.) Marcus Tyus – Marcus has ben up and down this year but he’s been more up lately. He’s scored six or more in four of the last five games and scored 20 against Fort Wayne on 8-13 shooting including 2-4 from 3. Tyus is the main scoring weapon off the bench so if Omaha needs someone other than the starting 5 to pick up some points he’s the one they seem to rely on. His minutes are up too playing 27 in each of the last two games while Alex Phillips played only 20 and 17 and hasn’t scored in double figures in nine of the last 11. If CJ Carter can get back to the level he’s been at in the past before his back injury (and he seems to be on the way evidenced by 26 against Kansas City and more than 30 minutes a game in the last three games) the Mavericks will have a good stable of guards to light things up.

      Prediction
      With the way Omaha is shooting they might really have a chance. I wish Omaha could count on a good student crowd to come out and create a good atmosphere, but that seems unlikely even though school is back in session. The stats favor IUPUI but I have a good feeling about Omaha tomorrow night back at home. I’ll take the Mavericks 86-81.
      Massey – IUPUI wins 80-77.
      RealTimeRPI – Omaha wins 82-77.

      2012-13 Omaha Women’s Basketball – Game 15 Preview – IUPUI

      Filed under: Omaha Mavericks,Previews,Women's Basketball — Jon Green @ 9:00 am

      Omaha Women's Basketball Preview IUPUI - 1-9-13

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      Omaha was fairly impressive last week at home with a big win over Oakland followed by a tight game on Saturday against Fort Wayne. Trailing by a point with around four minutes left the Mavericks went on an 11-0 run to win the game 60-50. Paige Frauendorfer pulled out of her shooting slump with a 23 point outing and the Mavericks locked down defensively when it counted to grab their 3rd conference win. Now the Mavericks head on the road to an IUPUI team that was dominant in a win over Western Illinois last weekend (55-36) but also lost a road game at Oakland to end the 2012 portion of their schedule. Which Jaguar team will Omaha meet in Indianapolis on Thursday?

      IUPUI
      It’s hard to know what to make of IUPUI at this point. Their conference portion of the schedule saw them win at Fort Wayne by five and lost at Oakland by nine. So that would seem to suggest they are below Omaha for sure. The 19 point win over Western Illinois is pretty impressive though and wins against Indiana State and Belmont in the non-conference are also impressive. The resume is absent of any bad losses as well, the worst one being the loss at Oakland. They are 6-2 at home with the losses to Butler and Youngstown State.

      The Jaguars are not led by one player in particular. DeAirra Goss leads in points (14.1ppg), Kerah Nelson, 1st-team All-Summit a year ago, leads in rebounds (5.7rpg) and is 2nd in points (13.3ppg), while Katie Comello leads in assists (2.4apg) IUPUI has started a lot of players this year but the starting lineup from their last game was four juniors and a senior. Could see a starting grid of nine upperclassmen in Indianapolis. They have a lot of depth as eight players average between 15 and 30 minutes a game, so Omaha will be seeing fresh legs as the Omaha starters play 38-40 minutes.

      They are a good shooting team, though less so from 3 (where they don’t take a ton of looks). They are dominant on the glass (54.4% of available rebounds) and have an interesting identity in being the worst team in the Summit League at maintaining possession (turnovers on 25.6% of possessions) and being the best team at forcing the other team to turn it over (turnovers on 31% of possessions). This fast pressing style means they have more possessions per game than any other Summit League team. They are good defensively (2nd in the Summit in ppp) due to the good defensive rebounding and turnover% as teams shoot 41.5% against them.

      IUPUI is coached by Austin Parkinson who is in 3rd season with a 25-50 record. The Jaguars have been above .500 just three times in the last 10 years, the best a 17-11 season in 2005-06. They’ve usually been a bottom level team in conference outside of a four year stretch from 2005-2009 where they won double digit games three times and went 7-7 in the other year.

      After winning just three and four games in back-to-back years they got a 13 win season last year including seven Summit League wins and a Summit League tournament victory over North Dakota State. The program definitely seems to be on the rise and if they can continue some of their early success from this season they could finish in the top half of the conference.

      Against Western Illinois the Jaguars held Western Illinois to just 23% shooting (1-14 from 3) and forced 20 turnovers. They won the battle on the boards 48-35 and rolled to the 19 point win. The Leathernecks had more FTs (15) than FGs (10) and scored just .52 points per possession while scoring on only 25.4% of their possessions. IUPUI didn’t shoot great either, just 33% from the field and 23% from 3. They had 15 turnovers as well, not the most impressive offensive game. DeAirra Goss led the way with 15 points while Dee-Dee Bellamy and Akilah Sims grabbed eight rebounds a piece.

      Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
      150 – Indiana St. (71-66)
      181 – @ Belmont (61-53)
      190 – Western Ill. (55-36)
      200 – Valparaiso (75-69)
      279 – West. Michigan (75-67)
      292 – @ IPFW (79-74)
      N/A – Grace (107-48)
      N/A – Goshen (87-31)

      Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
      12 – @ Purdue (53-78)
      51 – Youngstown St. (57-58)
      129 – Butler (58-67)
      137 – @ Indiana (49-60)
      154 – @ Wright St. (71-75)
      193 – @ Eastern Illinois (60-71)
      233 – @ Oakland (59-68)

      Solid resume that has all but one of the losses above the 200 RPI mark. Good at home winning three games against teams in the top 200 and challenging a Youngstown State team that is nearly in the top 50, losing by one.

      Omaha vs. IUPUI

      Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
      Omaha 42.5% 35.3% 68.9% 0.923 0.799 23.1 0.913 59.0% 35.7% 28.8% 25.0 53.0% 38.1% 66.6% 3.1
      IUPUI 40.8% 27.8% 63.8% 0.827 0.812 25.6 0.680 49.0% 41.5% 30.2% 31.0 54.4% 39.2% 68.1% 2.0
      Favors.. Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha Omaha IUPUI IUPUI IUPUI IUPUI Omaha

      Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League.

      Omaha is the superior team offensively and defensively. The Mavericks fall behind in every rebounding category and in opposing turnover ratio. Omaha doesn’t have the best turnover ratio themselves, so that could be an area for concern. Omaha wasn’t real impressive on the boards against Fort Wayne so hopefully they play a little better there in this one. Notice IUPUI’s poor 3FG% (27.8%). Omaha only allows opponents to shoot 28.8% from 3, so that could be a big advantage if they can force IUPUI into a lot of 3’s.

      Starters
      IUPUI
      Guard – Dee-Dee Bellamy – 5-3 – Junior – Detroit, Michigan – Averaging 4.0 points and 3.0 rebounds.
      Guard – Katie Comello – 5-15 – Junior – Cincinnati, Ohio – Averaging 9.9 points, 1.7 rebounds, 2.4 assists, and 2.1 steals.
      Guard – DeAirra Goss – 5-10 – Junior – Indianapolis, Indiana – Averaging 14.1 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 1.6 steals.
      Forward – Kerah Nelson – 5-10 – Junior – St. Petersburg, Florida – Averaging 13.3 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 1.5 steals.
      Center – Clara Mitchell – 6-1 – Senior – Lexington, Kentucky – Averaging 2.7 points and 3.9 rebounds.

      Omaha
      Point Guard – Jamie Nash – 5-4 – Senior – Verona, Missouri – Averaging 10.3 points, 3.6 rebounds, 7.5 assists, and 3.8 steals.
      Guard – Carly Cator – 5-9 – Senior – Lakewood, Colorado – Averaging 1.8 points and 3.2 rebounds.
      Guard – Paige Frauendorfer – 6-0 – Senior – Humphrey, Nebraska – Averaging 13.9 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 1.7 steals.
      Guard – Carolyn Blair-Mobley – 5-10 – Senior – St. Paul, Minnesota – Averaging 12.3 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 2.1 assists.
      Center – Taijhe Kelly – 6-4 – Sophomore – Carson, California – Averaging 4.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.6 blocks.

      Three Things to Watch
      1) Where IUPUI’s shots come from – Since Omaha is much stingier against the 3 and IUPUI shoots much better from inside they will want to get it inside as much as possible. Of IUPUI shooters with at least 10 made 3FG, only Nicole Rogers is over 30%, and she sits at just 35.6%. If Omaha can take away the inside looks I think they can beat IUPUI by forcing them to take 3’s they won’t hit.

      2.) Record watch – Here’s the marks we are watching this weekend… Jamie Nash needs 17 points to reach 1,000 for her career, Paige Frauendorfer needs 47 (how many of you knew Jamie has actually scored more career points?). Jamie needs seven steals to tie Kriss Edwards for the all-time career steals mark. Paige Frauendorfer is 10 rebounds away from 600 and 20 away from the 10th place spot on the all-time charts.

      3.) Limiting turnovers. – This stat has fairly surprisingly not made the difference between wins and losses this year it would seem. Omaha has seen their three losses come in the 6th best games they’ve had, all at 21.1% or below. Still I think that’s more flukey than meaningful and limiting turnovers is still a good way to improve their chances of winning. Since IUPUI forces a lot of turnovers it must be noted that Omaha’s worst performance came against Arkansas-Pine Bluff when they turned it over 32.1% of the time. Of course they won that game by 4… so who knows. Omaha seems to shoot a lot better when they turn it over for some reason. This graph shows the two for each game, wins in blue while losses are in red… there is no strong trend between what % of possessions end in turnovers and points per possession, especially when you consider the left side of the chart is better turnover rates!  You do see the three losses have been in the worst offensive ppp games, that’s not terribly surprising though. Defense is fairly consistent for the Mavericks and most games they put up a defensive number that only needs a solid offensive performance to win.

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      Prediction
      I had thought loss coming in but the more I like at the stats the more I think Omaha can win this game. I don’t think IUPUI is going to shoot great against Omaha and if they can force them into 3’s this plays right into Omaha’s hands. Omaha looked really good on the road at Kansas City, had a hard fought win at Arkansas-Pine Bluff, and were just a few easy misses away from beating South Dakota. I’ll take Omaha 63-57.
      Massey – IUPUI wins 59-61.
      RealTimeRPI – IUPUI wins 64-60.

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