Maverick Maniac's Musings

May 13, 2013

UNO Baseball – Conference Championship Scenarios – After 5/12

Filed under: Baseball,Omaha Mavericks — Jon Green @ 8:28 am

South Dakota State got a 4th win over Fort Wayne to complete the series sweep. Not what UNO was hoping for out of that series, but thankfully the Mavericks have been fairly strong the last two weekends taking 5 of 8 in Western Illinois and Oakland. That means UNO heads back home still in 1st place in the Summit League. All that remains is 6 games over a 5 day stretch…

DH vs. Western Illinois on Tuesday the 14th
vs. South Dakota State on Thursday the 16th
DH vs. South Dakota State on Friday the 17th
vs. South Dakota State on Saturday the 18th

South Dakota State has 2 games at North Dakota State on Tuesday. The Bison have lost SEVEN straight games after starting conference play 6-5. They were once the overwhelming favorites to win the conference, but times have changed. Still this is a team that split four-game series earlier in the year with both Omaha and South Dakota State.

Now to look at the scenarios. On the left is what happens before the series. On the right is what needs to happen in the series to give UNO an outright title.

Remember UNO has 2 games, SDSU 2 games before they meet.
0 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to take 3 of 4
1 UNO win/SDSU loss before the series –> UNO needs to take 3 of 4
2 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to split the series
3 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to split the series
4 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to win a single game in the series

This is the same idea, but for a share of the conference title.
Remember UNO has 2 games, SDSU 2 games before they meet.
0 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to take 3 of 4 (outright… no chance at shared)
1 UNO win/SDSU loss before the series –> UNO needs to split the series
2 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to split the series (outright… no chance at shared)
3 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to win a single game in the series
4 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to win a single game in the series (outright… no chance at shared)

If UNO sweeps Western Illinois (or SDSU gets swept by North Dakota State… or SDSU loses 1 and UNO wins 1) then a split in the SDSU-UNO series will give UNO a conference title.

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