Maverick Maniac's Musings

May 11, 2013

UNO Baseball Enters Home Stretch… Conference Championship Scenarios – After 5/10

Filed under: Baseball,Omaha Mavericks — Jon Green @ 10:00 am

Long time no blog everyone… it’s been a refreshing break for me after a busy winter season. I’ve got some fresh ideas and look forward to sharing what I can.

Wanted to talk today a little about UNO Baseball heading into the final week of the season. UNO will wrap up the season on Saturday the 18th with a home game against South Dakota State. They have 6 games before that point.

@ Oakland on Saturday the 11th
DH vs. Western Illinois on Tuesday the 14th
vs. South Dakota State on Thursday the 16th
DH vs. South Dakota State on Friday the 17th.

UNO currently leads South Dakota State by a single game in the standings, 14-5 to 11-6. Yes that seems weird to call a single game because SDSU has played two less games, but that’s what it is.  The Magic Number for UNO is 7! 7 wins/SDSU losses and UNO is conference champs. Since the two teams meet for a 4 game series and in that series every UNO win would be worth 2 (since SDSU would also lose) this means even if UNO loses every game until that point a sweep in the series would make UNO outright conference champs.

Now to look at the more complete scenarios. On the left is what happens before the series. On the right is what needs to happen in the series to give UNO an outright title.

Remember UNO has 3 games, SDSU 5 games before they meet.
0 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to sweep 4-0
1 UNO win/SDSU loss before the series –> UNO needs to take 3 of 4
2 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to take 3 of 4
3 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to split the series
4 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to split the series
5 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to win a single game in the series
6 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to win a single game in the series
7 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO is conference champs
8 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO is conference champs

This is the same idea, but for a share of the conference title.
Remember UNO has 3 games, SDSU 5 games before they meet.
0 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to take 3 of 4
1 UNO win/SDSU loss before the series –> UNO needs to take 3 of 4
2 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to split the series
3 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to split the series
4 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to win a single game in the series
5 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO needs to win a single game in the series
6 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO is conference champs
7 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO is conference champs (outright)
8 UNO wins/SDSU losses before the series –> UNO is conference champs (outright)

Tomorrow (as every day from here on) is a big day. If UNO wins and SDSU gets swept UNO would know a series split against SDSU would give them a conference title. Even a single UNO win/SDSU loss would mean UNO only needs a series win, not a sweep against SDSU, to win the title outright.

A strong finish to the weekend could set UNO up with a chance to win the conference title on Tuesday against Western Illinois. Would be nice to have that kind of breathing room but I certainly suspect South Dakota State will be playing their best ball knowing they are in a good position to make a run at the conference title.

Advertisements

Leave a Comment »

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Blog at WordPress.com.

%d bloggers like this: