Maverick Maniac's Musings

March 7, 2013

Who to Root Against in Other Conference Tournaments–3/7/13

Filed under: Men's Basketball,The Summit League — Jon Green @ 10:00 am

In this segment I talk about what could happen around the country to boost the Summit League’s future seeding in the NCAA Tournament. I’m going to focus mostly on teams ahead of where South Dakota State is projected since we have the most data on the Jackrabbits potential seeding. I think North Dakota State could be seeded very similarly if they make it while Western Illinois would be a step back. Oakland or any other team is probably a 16 seed unless some crazy upsets happen.

Last night we only had one team to root against, and they won. Tonight there’s a full five more before conference tournament action starts really kicking into high gear on Friday.

How last night went:
Bucknell – Beat Navy 58-42 in Patriot League Quarterfinal.
Next up: Army 16-14 (8-6) on Saturday.

Teams to root against tonight – 3/7:
Root against… Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State 19-10 (12-4) – 8 PM CT – WAC regular season – ESPN3!
Root for… Denver vs. UTA 17-10 (11-5) – 8 PM CT – WAC regular season – Go Future Summit Member!
Root against… Stephen F. Austin vs. Sam Houston State 15-14 (8-8) – 8 PM CT – Southland regular season – ESPN3!
Root against… Montana vs. Sacramento State 14-13 (8-10) – 8 PM CT – Big Sky regular season
Root against… Weber State vs. Portland State 8-18 (5-13) – 8 PM CT – Big Sky regular season

Summaries for each league:
Horizon – Tuesday, March 5th – Tuesday, March 12th at campus sites/Valparaiso – As the #1 seed, Valparaiso is hosting the quarterfinals and semifinals on Friday and Saturday. The final on Tuesday will be at the highest seed left’s home court. Valparaiso would probably be ahead of South Dakota State as might Detroit (#2 seed). If any of the 3-6 seeds make a run that would be great. Both Detroit and Valparaiso will open play on Saturday in the semifinals.

Patriot – Wednesday, March 6th – Wednesday, March 13th at campus sites – Bucknell is the team to root against here. They are in the semifinals already hosting Army on Saturday. Lehigh at the #3 seed knocked off Duke last year and if they could win the tournament could have star C.J. McCollum back for the NCAA tournament. Join me in rooting for the Mountain Hawks!

Ohio Valley – Wednesday, March 6th – Saturday March 9th in Nashville, Tennessee – Belmont might get in regardless of if they win this tournament, but Murray State beat South Dakota State and getting them in to the field might help the Jackrabbits resume as well. Belmont won’t play until Friday due to the nature of this tournament where the top two teams get double byes.

Metro Atlantic – Friday, March 8th – Monday March 11th in Springfield, Massachusetts – Loyola (Maryland) might be the #3 seed but they are the only team in the conference with more than 18 wins. Best they lose… they’ll start play in the quarterfinals on Saturday against Manhattan (9-9).

Southern – Friday, March 8th – Monday, March 11th in Asheville, North Carolina – Davidson at 23-7, 17-1 in conference, is the top threat to finish ahead of South Dakota State. Take your pick of underdogs here, the rest would probably be behind South Dakota State. First game for Davidson is Saturday in the quarterfinals.

Sun Belt – Friday, March 8th – Monday, March 11th in Hot Springs, Arkansas – In this one Summit fans definitely want to see Middle Tennessee State knocked off and South Alabama losing as well would probably be good too. Neither will play until Saturday when they’ll take on first round winners.

Ivy – Friday, March 8th – Tuesday, March 12th – This isn’t actually a tournament; the top team from the regular season goes. Princeton is probably preferred to Harvard at this point. The Tigers are behind a game but will have a chance to make that up on the final day when they play at Pennsylvania (5-6). In the meantime they play at Yale (6-6) on Friday and at Brown (6-6) on Saturday. Harvard hosts Columbia (4-8) on Friday and Cornell (5-7) on Saturday. They need to hope Princeton loses since they already have one more loss. If the two tie there would be a winner-take-all game at the Palestra.

America East – Saturday, March 9th – Saturday March 16th in Albany, New York and campus site – This tournament has the quarterfinals and semifinals in Albany before having the title game on the home court of the highest seed. Only Stony Brook is a threat to South Dakota State. They’ll start play with a quarterfinal game against Binghamton on Saturday.

MAC – Monday, March 11th – Saturday, March 16th in Cleveland, Ohio – Akron did have that win over North Dakota State so them winning would make the Summit look better, but they might not be in if they don’t win the tournament and would definitely be seeded over South Dakota State if they are. Ohio might be as well. So probably rooting against both of those two. Ohio and Akron are the top two teams in the league and have byes until the semifinals on March 15th. Akron does have a home game against Kent State (8-7) on Saturday while Ohio plays a home game against Miami (Ohio) (3-12) on Saturday as well. Obviously losses in either of those games would hurt their potential seeds.

WAC – Tuesday, March 12th – Saturday, March 16th in Las Vegas, Nevada – Louisiana Tech would definitely be ahead of South Dakota State if they get in. They would have a good shot at getting in regardless of results here, but who knows. Denver is also a darkhorse that could finish ahead of South Dakota State. They probably need to win this tournament to get in but as a member of the Summit next year I will be rooting for them to do just that, even if it means being seeded ahead of South Dakota State. Both Louisiana Tech and Denver look like they’ll play their first games on Wednesday the 13th. Louisiana Tech does have two final regular season games, at New Mexico State (12-4) on Thursday and at Denver (14-2) on Saturday. Denver also has a home games vs. Texas-Arlington (11-5). If Louisiana Tech were to lose both of those games they would be in shaky territory if they don’t win the conference tournament.

Southland – Wednesday, March 13th – Saturday, March 16th in Katy, Texas – Stephen F. Austin at 24-3 on the year would be a nice one to see fall. Oral Roberts at 18-12 and being a former Summit member would be a nice one to see win it. Still a couple of regular season games remaining with Stephen F. Austin hosting Sam Houston State (8-8) on Thursday and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (5-11) on Saturday.

Big Sky – Thursday, March 14th – Saturday, March 16th at campus site – This tournament will be held at the site of the top seed. It’s not yet sure who that is. The top teams (Montana at 21-6 and Weber State at 22-5) could be ahead of South Dakota State. North Dakota at #3 played a lot of Summit teams and would be clearly a #16 seed. So go UND. The #2 seed (whoever it is) will have to play in the quarterfinals on Thursday while the #1 seed can wait until Friday to tip off. Root for Montana to lose at home to Sacramento State (8-10) on Thursday and Northern Arizona (8-10) on Saturday to make them a less attractive seed. Weber State hosts Portland State (5-13) on Thursday and Eastern Washington (6-12) on Saturday and the same applies to them.

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