Maverick Maniac's Musings

February 7, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Men’s Basketball – Game #25 Recap – Oakland

Filed under: Men's Basketball,Omaha Mavericks,Recaps — Jon Green @ 2:00 pm

Omaha couldn’t keep their hot streak going on Saturday as they fell away from Oakland late, losing 96-81 to end a three game win streak. Oakland pounded it inside on the Mavericks and got 44 points in the paint. Their forwards were a two-headed monster for UNO to deal with as Corey Petros scored 28 points while Drew Valentine grabbed 16 rebounds. Omaha did a decent job containing Travis Bader, but he got 14 FTA and ended up with 24 points despite going 1-8 from deep.

Omaha had a strong outing from CJ Carter and Justin Simmons. Carter scored 21 and Simmons 25 as the two managed to take 30 of Omaha’s 65 shots and all seven of Omaha’s FTs. Carter pulled in six rebounds, five assists and three steals as well. John Karhoff had 14 points and five rebounds inside but was limited to 26 minutes due to some foul trouble and eventually fouled out.

The loss means Omaha isn’t in any sort of contention for the 4th spot, but they still could finish 5th in the Summit League. The Mavericks showed they are capable of playing with Oakland, most of the game was pretty close.

Omaha now travels to Western Illinois where they look to pull a big upset. The Leathernecks were dominant for most of the game in Omaha, but brief stretches of great play by Omaha meant the Mavericks only lost by 15.

It was Over When: It was close to being over several times late but I’ll go with when CJ Carter turned it over down nine with 1:41 left. Mavericks really needed to score on that possession.

Player of the Game: Incredibly tight between Justin Simmons and CJ Carter. Narrowly awarding this one to Simmons who went 10-15 from the field including hitting 3-5 threes, had four rebounds, an assists, and two blocks to go with the 25 points.

Season Total:
Justin Simmons (7)
John Karhoff (5)
Matt Hagerbaumer (4)
Alex Welhouse (4)
Alex Phillips (1)
Caleb Steffensmeier (1)
CJ Carter (1)
Marcus Tyus (1)

Player Ratings (Positionally Adjusted Win Score):
Justin Simmons – 2.232
C.J. Carter – 1.894
Matt Hagerbaumer – 1.270
Alex Welhouse – 1.057
John Karhoff – 0.855
Alex Phillips – 0.558
Marcus Tyus – 0.000
Caleb Steffensmeier – (-3.157)
Jacques Coleman – (-7.576)

Great games out of Justin and CJ while Matt Hagerbaumer did a good job with the 14 minutes he had (four rebounds and three blocks… no shots)

Season Total:
Matt Hagerbaumer – 1.260
Justin Simmons – 1.201
Marcus Tyus – 0.942
C.J. Carter – 0.794
Alex Welhouse – 0.693
Alex Phillips – 0.693
Caleb Steffensmeier – 0.669
John Karhoff – 0.568
Koang Doluony – 0.380
Jacques Coleman – 0.360
Simon Krych – (-0.092)
Tyler Egli – (-0.206)

A quick note on Karhoff, now the only starter not in the top six… First of all more is “expected” of Karhoff in this stat because of his position. Rebounds are valued in this stat as equal to points and centers typically grab more of those. Karhoff is not a traditional center in that his rebounding total of 98 this year is just three more than Justin Simmons has, just nine more than Matt Hagerbaumer has (despite having played 48% less minutes), and just 24 rebounds more than CJ Carter. Alex Welhouse if given the same center designation would be at 0.662. Decides these designations is tough for me… Is Welhouse really a four? He started the year as more of a three with Doluony starting, but now he’s definitely more of a four… but his game is also more like that of a three. Who deserves to be a three guard and who a two guard then? Most of these guards play very similar roles… Might just retire this statistic all together next year as efficiency seems to do some of the same things without the position factor.

Team Ratings: Good pace for Omaha who had a decent day offensively, a little below where I thought they’d be. Defensively it wasn’t good of course. Shooting was decent, turnovers weren’t a huge problem, though not fantastic. Bad defensive rebounding, decent offensive rebounding. Team didn’t get to the free throw line much.

Possessions: 75
Offensive Points per Possession : 1.08
Defensive Points per Possession : 1.30
eFG%: 56.9%
Turnover Rate: 18.6%
Offensive Rebounding: 25.9%
Defensive Rebounding: 61.8%
A/B%: 44.1%
Floor%: 51.9%
FT Prod: 10.8

Response to 3 things to watch:
1) Travis Bader vs. Justin Simmons – Both did score over 20 with Simmons edging Bader 25-24. Bader shot much more poorly but did get the 14 FTA to get his scoring up. Was impressed with Omaha’s defense on Bader, Phillips and Tyus both did a great job on him and he went 1-8 from three.

2.) John Karhoff vs. Corey Petros – Karhoff got into foul trouble and would foul out playing just 26 minutes. I’m not sure it hurt all that much as Matt Hagerbaumer was also effective off the bench with four rebounds and three blocks. Regardless of who was in there Oakland still had 42 points and 17 rebounds from their two post presences, not good enough by Omaha.

3.) Bench/Marcus Tyus – Omaha looked early on like they might get a good day from Tyus but he ended up with only four points (and four assists) as Simmons came to life and CJ Carter was hot. I think Tyus can pick up some of the slack when it’s needed but for the most part Omaha didn’t need it on Saturday.

Prediction Response: Little further spread than I expected but most of that was in the final couple of minutes.

Upcoming Opponent: Omaha travels to Western Illinois on Thursday. It will be a tough one for the Mavericks against the very efficient Leathernecks but Omaha is playing better and has a definite chance to keep it close.


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