Maverick Maniac's Musings

January 28, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Women’s Basketball – Game #20 Recap – South Dakota State

Filed under: College Sports,Omaha Mavericks,Recaps,Women's Basketball — Jon Green @ 9:00 am

How you look at Omaha’s loss to South Dakota State on Saturday is probably a direct correlation to your expectations. If you thought Omaha was going to win this game you’re probably a bit disappointed but if you felt South Dakota State was always going to be a tough team to beat then there are many good things to take from this performance. I would have liked to see it a little closer than 10, but considering the bad stretch Omaha had late in the 1st half I’m pretty proud of the final score and how Omaha competed in the first half.

Omaha were a little cold from the field (36.5%) and allowed South Dakota State to hit a lot of shots (51.9%) in the 74-64 loss. Omaha was burned by several Jackrabbits who weren’t great three-point shooters coming in. Gabrielle Boever (2-3), Tara Heiser (1-3), and Rachel Walters (3-5) all exceeded their three-point percentages coming in. They all entered the game under 30% and combined to go 6-11, can you really fault Omaha for letting them take those shots? If they had hit three of those 11 (27%) instead of six this is a one point game. So in one respect I think you can say Omaha lost because South Dakota State hit shots they wouldn’t be “expected” to make.

Anyways this was a tight game through most of the first half but Omaha struggled after cutting the game to 20-19 with 8:27 left in the half. It was a 19-5 run to close the half for SDSU. Omaha’s inability to cut into the lead in the closing three minutes, and especially the five points they gave up in the final 35 seconds, put them in a big hole at the break. Omaha cut the lead to nine quickly in the second half but a few empty possessions saw the lead back to 15. Omaha cut it to 11 and again South Dakota State answered getting it to 19 with 14:12 left. It was an 18 point game, 62-44 with 9:12 left and Omaha really could have quit.

Instead they ratcheted up the intensity on defense and started to make some plays. They also go to the FT line a lot and were hitting them. Omaha had cut the lead to nine, 64-55 with 5:58 left. Omaha had the ball and Jamie Nash had her pocket picked. Omaha was able to get back defensively and Paige Frauendorfer jumped a pass and went the other way. Unfortunately her layup attempt didn’t go in and while the ball did out-of-bounds off of South Dakota State, they called a timeout and were able to reset.

I feel that timeout might have saved the game for them. They came out of it refocused and Frauendorfer ended up turning it over on that possession and missed a layup on the next. Both times SDSU answered with baskets. The lead was back to 13 and Omaha wouldn’t threaten again.

Omaha got a great game out of Frauendorfer (16 points), Nash (17 points) and Blair-Mobley (17 points). Unfortunately they didn’t get enough out of everyone else as Taijhe Kelly and Ericka House added six each while Allison Jackson had the only other points for Omaha with two FTs. Taijhe Kelly another performance that shows her potential. 2-3 from the field and two FTs for six points. Four rebounds and four blocks… but four big turnovers where if she could have grabbed the ball she might have had extra FGs. When she can get a shot off she’s a great scorer, but she’s having a hard time grabbing the ball right now.

Omaha did a lot of their work at the FT line where they went 21-22. It made up for the poor FG shooting and the 21 turnovers. Omaha also battle hard on the offensive glass grabbing 11 offensive rebounds out of 31 opportunities.

South Dakota State is incredibly deep. They played ten players, all between nine and 32 minutes. Omaha played only three between those two numbers. Tired legs can be a factor in games like this. Still credit the Mavericks for hanging in this game despite some struggles. They weren’t shooting well but found ways to get to the FT line and were able to keep this from getting ugly. They really played tough defense down the stretch. It wasn’t a great defensive performance by Omaha but they still did a better job than Kansas City, Western Illinois, North Dakota State, and South Dakota have all done against SDSU so far this year.

It gets easier from here for Omaha. One site I visit has them going 6-2 in their final eight games, the losses at South Dakota State and at home to South Dakota (by three). Every game from here out is winnable (with the possible exception of that game in Brookings… it’s probably a stretch to see Omaha winning there). Nothing is going to be handed to Omaha but if they play with the intensity that they showed in the 2nd half against South Dakota State they can get rolling. The road games remaining (outside of SDSU) are against teams #6, #7, and #9 in the league. The better teams (#2, #3, #5, and #8) have to come to Omaha still and the Mavericks have a great chance to finish over .500 in the Summit.

It was Over When: After SDSU got the lead back to 13 Omaha had two opportunities to answer but Paige Frauendorfer couldn’t hit either layup. Once they got the defensive rebound and hit two free throws after a final this one was over at 70-55 with 3:23 left.

Player of the Game: Carolyn Blair-Mobley gets it today. There are a few ways to look at this one. Yes she went 3-10 from the field, but Paige Frauendorfer was also 6-17… neither really impressive. Blair-Mobley was also 1-5 from three so she had seven points from the field on 10 shots to Paige’s 12 from 17 shots… A very slight difference in points per shot. The difference came at the FT line where Blair-Mobley got 10 chances… and hit all 10. She also added seven rebounds, four assists, and three steals while only committing a single turnover.

Season Total:
Paige Frauendorfer (7)
Carolyn Blair-Mobley (6)
Jamie Nash (4)
Cathleen Cox (1)
Casse Vaughn (1)
Taijhe Kelly (1)

Efficiency Ratings:
Carolyn Blair-Mobley – 22
Paige Frauendorfer – 14
Jamie Nash – 9
Taijhe Kelly – 4
Ericka House – 2
Allison Jackson – 2
Stacia Gebers – 0
Carly Cator – 0
Casse Vaughn – 0

Season Average:
Paige Frauendorfer – 14.7
Carolyn Blair-Mobley – 13.3
Jamie Nash – 10.9
Casse Vaughn – 6.4
Ericka House – 5.9
Taijhe Kelly – 5.6
Carly Cator – 3.5
Stacia Gebers – 2.5
Cathleen Cox – 2.4
Kate Bayes – 1.6
Myhiah Dotzler – 0.9
Allison Jackson – 0.9

Team Ratings: Well it was a high possession game for Omaha and you see the offensive number isn’t all that bad for the Mavericks. They’ve won several games with ratings around there. Against a team like SDSU you need more though as defense isn’t going to perform as well.

Mavericks didn’t shoot well, turned it over too much, but have a fantastic FT Production rate. Rebounding was mostly a wash.

Possessions: 75
Offensive Points per Possession : 0.85
Defensive Points per Possession : 1.01
eFG%: 41.3%
Turnover Rate: 27.8%
Offensive Rebounding: 29.6%
Defensive Rebounding: 72.0%
A/B%: 42.1%
Floor%: 37.0%
FT Prod: 40.4

Response to 3 things to watch:
1) Clean With the Ball – Oops… Omaha didn’t really do that very well. Thankfully South Dakota State was even sloppier/Omaha aggressive so this didn’t kill the Mavericks as it could have.

2.) Perimeter Battle – Pretty even in percentage (SDSU 40% to Omaha 38%) but the difference was SDSU took 20 to Omaha’s 13. Mavericks maybe could have lifted a few more threes as they only went 14-39 inside the arc.

3.) Strengths on the Glass – Again this turned out really even. Both teams had nearly identical rebound rates. SDSU did keep Omaha well below their season average so I guess that is a win for the Jackrabbits.

Prediction Response: Game was a little quicker and high scoring than I expected. Omaha wasn’t quite as close as I expected but things weren’t all that surprising in the end.

Upcoming Opponent: Omaha travels to Fort Wayne on Thursday. It wasn’t an easy game in Omaha but the Mavericks pulled away late. Omaha has lost three straight Summit League road games so this will be a big one.

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