Maverick Maniac's Musings

January 26, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Men’s Basketball – Game #23 Preview – Kansas City

Filed under: Men's Basketball,Omaha Mavericks,Previews — Jon Green @ 11:03 am

Omaha Men's Basketball Preview - Kansas City - 1-26-13

Live Stats
Live Video ($6)
Live Audio (Robert Ford – 1620 AM)

Coming off of probably the biggest win in the last two years at South Dakota the Mavericks are going to look for their first season sweep of the D1 era when they head to Kansas City. Not getting too full of themselves and staying composed will be key as Omaha is going to have heads held high after their success Thursday. This Kansas City team also won at South Dakota recently and have been improving. This is no gimme.

Kansas City
When Omaha last saw Kansas City they were in the midst of a nine game losing streak. The Kansas City that Omaha will see today is not quite the same. They’ve split their last four and really should have won on Tuesday. They even added a player midseason in Aaron Washington. It’s a team that’s been plagued by injuries this year but can be strong when they are healthy and in rhythm.

Kansas City has a balanced team with five role players averaging between 5.2 and 7.6. Their two main scorers are Estan Tyler (11.7 points) and Thomas Staton (11.2) and this isn’t a prolific offensive team, so if Omaha gets scoring like they have lately and play just a little defense they could win this. Kansas city also isn’t great defensively ranking 333rd in D-PPP.

A few things the ‘Roos do well… they are good FT shooting team at 72% and they do force 12.2 turnovers per game, a decent number in the Summit League. They also average 3.4 blocks per game. They do have a 6-10 center and a 6-7 forward in Kirk Korver who can shoot the three. Fortunately Welhouse will match up well against Korver and hopefully Karhoff inside can handle their center.

Kansas City led 50-39 against Houston Baptist with 13:59 left but blew that lead and gave up a few FTs in the final thirty seconds to lose 63-61. It was an ugly loss in a game they should have had. Nelson Kirksey led the team with 14 points but Fred Chatmon had 10 points and 17 rebounds inside. Karhoff be warned!

In that game back in Omaha the Mavericks were led by CJ Carter who had 26 points on 10-12 shooting. Alex Welhouse had a double-double with 10 and 10 while Justin Simmons had 20 points. It was the start of Omaha’s outstanding offensive performances. Thomas Staton had 23 points and seven rebounds for Kansa City who might have been closer if they’d been able to shoot better than 3-19 from deep.

Best Five Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
187 – (Neutral) Norfolk State (63-57)
214 – @ South Dakota (90-86)
285 – IUPUI (79-65)
292 – @ Fort Wayne (63-59)
295 – @ North Dakota (73-70)

Worst Five Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
332 – Houston Baptist (61-63)
318 – @ Omaha (65-77)
297 – Appalachian State (71-81)
267 – Utah Valley (66-78)
221 – SE Missouri State (65-66)

Not a very good resume. A couple of decent wins but a slew of not so good losses… Omaha prominent on that list and without a good resume either of course.

Omaha vs. Kansas City – Summit League Only Stats

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 48.8% 39.1% 65.8% 1.028 1.176 19.2 0.984 48.1% 50.9% 44.4% 17.0 46.1% 27.5% 62.9% 3.3
UMKC 47.3% 36.7% 72.0% 1.021 1.087 21.8 0.711 41.5% 48.6% 43.8% 18.0 50.4% 30.2% 70.5% 3.4
Favors.. Omaha Omaha UMKC Omaha UMKC Omaha Omaha Omaha UMKC UMKC UMKC UMKC UMKC UMKC UMKC

Green = 1,2, or 3 in the Summit League. Red = 7,8, or 9 in the Summit League. Better team in bold

Omaha’s the better offensive team, Kansas City a stronger defensive and rebounding team. The gap is wider on the defensive side though…

Starters
Kansas City
Guard – Aaron Washington – 6-1 – Junior – Averaging 3.3 points and 1.2 rebounds.
Guard – Estan Tyler – 6-1 – Sophomore – Averaging 11.7 points, 2.4 rebounds, 2 3FGs, and 3.3 assists.
Forward – Trinity Hall – 6-1 – Junior – Averaging 5.2 points and 2.9 rebounds.
Forward – Kirk Korver – 6-7 – Junior – Averaging 6.6 points and 2.9 rebounds.
Center – Fred Chatmon – 6-10 – Junior – Averaging 7.2 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks.

Omaha
Point Guard – CJ Carter – 6-0 – Sophomore – Averaging 9.1 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists.
Guard – Alex Phillips – 6-3 – Junior – Averaging 8.7 points and 2.4 rebounds.
Guard – Justin Simmons – 6-3 – Junior – Averaging 15.3 points and 3.7 rebounds.
Forward – Alex Welhouse – 6-7 – Senior – Averaging 8.0 points and 4.8 rebounds.
Center – John Karhoff – 6-8 – Junior -  Averaging 12.0 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

Three Things to Watch
1) Can we get some defense? – So Omaha’s defensive problems have been well documented here. Tonight would seem to be another good chance to put up a strong defensive performance… so what say you Omaha?

2.) Battle inside – While John Karhoff has had a strong year he does have a tough matchup inside today in Fred Chatmon. That will be an interesting battle to watch. Karhoff held him to just seven points and eight rebounds in Omaha so we’ll see if he can do that again.

3.) Let down game – Excellent opportunity for Omaha to let down after the big South Dakota win. We’ll see early on how Omaha comes out and if there’s any sign of a hangover from Thursday.

Prediction
Omaha’s playing really well offensively and just needs an adequate defensive performance to win this game. I’ll take them again tonight 81-74.

Massey – Kansas City wins 80-74
RealTimeRPI – Kansas City wins 81-69.

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