Maverick Maniac's Musings

January 3, 2013

2012-13 Omaha Men’s Basketball – Game 17 Preview – Oakland

Filed under: College Sports,Men's Basketball,Omaha Mavericks — Jon Green @ 9:00 am

Omaha-Oakland-Men-1-3-13

Live Stats
Live Video ($7)
Live Audio (Free)

After winning their first ever Summit League game the Mavericks face a tough road trip to Rochester, Michigan to face the Oakland Golden Grizzlies on Thursday night. Omaha is only 4-12 on the year but has to be feeling more confident after a 77-65 home win over Kansas City on Monday. The Mavericks will look to win their first game on the road this season; three of their wins have been at home and one on a neutral court. Oakland comes into the game after picking up a dominant 84-62 win over IUPUI in Indianapolis on Saturday. Oakland did lose their first conference game 73-63 at Western Illinois and might be a team who can compete for a Summit League title this year.

Oakland
Historically Oakland has been one of the dominant programs in the Summit League. They went 17-1 in 2009-10 and 2010-11 and made the NCAA tournament in both seasons. Last year was a bit of step down going 11-8 in conference and being upset by Southern Utah in the Summit League tournament. The Golden Grizzlies still got into the postseason via a CIT (CollegeInsider.com Tournament) bid and actually had three home wins (Bowling Green, Buffalo, Rice) before a road loss at Utah State in the semifinals. The postseason allowed Oakland to reach 20 wins for the 4th straight year.

Oakland has played a very difficult schedule losing games on the road at Louisiana, Boise State, Pittsburgh, Michigan State, Tennessee, Western Michigan, Ohio and West Virginia in the non-conference portion of their schedule. They will continue that difficult schedule with a road trip to Alabama on Saturday. Oakland is 3-0 at home this year, though only one of those was over a D1 team (Valparaiso). They have had a lot of success at the O’rena, winning 35 of their last 38 home league games.

Oakland features one of the best 3-point shooters in the country in junior Travis Bader. Bader leads the country with 60 3’s on the season, an average of four makes per game. He is averaging 20.3 points and shoots 40% from 3. Another important starter is Duke Mondy, a junior guard who leads the Summit League in steals and puts up 11.7 ppg. Things don’t get any easier inside where Oakland starts 6-10 sophomore center Corey Petros, averaging 13.3 ppg and 7.7 rpg. Petros already has three double-doubles and shoots at a 57% clip. He’ll be a big matchup challenge for John Karhoff.

Against IUPUI, Oakland were dominant early taking an 18-0 lead they would never give up, winning 84-62. Oakland showed off both their offensive ability (53% shooting, 27 points from Bader) and their defensive ability (38% shooting-Season low for IUPUI, 15 steals). Travis Bader had four 3’s and now has the 9th most points in Summit League history.

Oakland is coached by Greg Kampe who has been there since 1984 and is now 496-358. Kampe saw their transition from D-II to D-I and has a .542 winning percentage since they moved up in 1999. He is the 5th longest tenured coach in Division 1. Kampe is 3rd in all-time summit League wins chasing only Scott Sutton at Oral Roberts and Homer Drew at Valparaiso. Interestingly both of those coaches had their count stopped when their school left the conference, something that their have been rumors might happen at Oakland.

Wins, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
113 – Valparaiso (70-68)
152 – @ Eastern Michigan (59-57)
245 – @ Texas Southern (71-69)
271 – @ IUPUI (84-62)
N/A – Albion (96-62)
N/A – Rochester (88-77)

Losses, ranked by RPI – realtimerpi.com
29 – @ Michigan State (52-70)
38 – @ Boise State (80-88)
48 – @ Tennessee (50-77)
57 – @ Western Michigan (72-76)
71 – @ Pittsburgh (62-72)
99 – @ West Virginia (71-76)
150 – @ Ohio (61-78)
175 – @ Western Illinois (63-73)
227 – @ Louisiana (79-90)

So as you can see from this Oakland has lost to a lot of good teams, six in the top 100 on the road. They have some mediocre losses too but the only one sub-200 was their second game of the year.  Omaha, ranked 307, would be a big upset loss at home.

Omaha vs. Oakland

Team FG% 3FG% FT% O-PPP D-PPP TO Rt A/TO A/B% Def FG% Def 3FG% Opp TO Rt Reb% Off Reb% Def Reb% BPG
Omaha 43.6% 34.9% 68.1% 0.901 1.147 22.0 0.773 53.0% 48.7% 36.2% 17.0 46.0% 24.8% 61.6% 2.4
Oakland 42.3% 34.7% 69.9% 0.974 1.075 17.6 0.936 49.0% 48.9% 32.2% 20.0 51.8% 32.2% 66.6% 1.3
Favors.. Omaha Omaha Oakland Oakland Oakland Oakland Oakland Omaha Omaha Oakland Oakland Oakland Oakland Oakland Omaha

Now isn’t that confusing… the two names look so similar in repeated order.

Omaha is a better shooting team than Oakland so far and does a better job assisting on their baskets. Defensively Omaha has a slightly better FG% against, but neither mark is one to be proud of and Oakland has played much tougher competition. Omaha also gets more blocks.

Oakland is better from the line and better per possession, by around 0.07 points on offense and on defense! In a 70 possession game this means they would be 10 points closer on average to the opposition than Omaha. Oakland also takes care of the ball better and does a better job defensively against outside shooting and getting turnovers. Finally Oakland is far superior on the boards.

Starters
Oakland
Point Guard – Ryan Bass – 5-9 – Junior – Dayton, Ohio – Averaging 7.9 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists.
Guard – Travis Bader – 6-5 – Junior – Okemos, Michigan – Averaging 20.3 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 4.0 3’s (40% 3FG%).
Guard – Duke Mondy – 6-2 – Junior – Grand Rapids, Michigan – Averaging 11.7 points, 4.3 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 2.9 steals.
Forward – Drew Valentine – 6-5 – Senior – Lansing, Michigan – Averaging 8.5 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists.
Center – Corey Petros – 6-10 – Sophomore – Macomb, Michigan – Averaging 13.3 points and 7.7 rebounds.

Omaha
Point Guard – CJ Carter – 6-0 – Sophomore – Omaha, Nebraska – Averaging 7.5 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists.
Guard – Alex Phillips – 6-3 – Junior – Smiths Station, Alabama – Averaging 8.6 points and 2.1 rebounds.
Guard – Justin Simmons – 6-3 – Junior – Milwaukee, Wisconsin – Averaging 13.4 points and 3.8 rebounds.
Forward – Alex Welhouse – 6-7 – Senior – Kaukauna, Wisconsin – Averaging 7.7 points and 4.7 rebounds.
Center – John Karhoff – 6-8 – Junior – Omaha, Nebraska – Averaging 11.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

Three Things to Watch
1) 3 Point Defense on Travis Bader – Omaha has been giving up 8 3’s a game on 37% shooting. Oakland ONLY averages 6.2 makes per game. Bader is their primary threat (65% of their makes and 56% of their shots) so Omaha should key on him and try to stop him from going off. Obviously easier said than done seeing his stats, but with him being their primary shooter they need to make someone else beat them.

2.) Inside Battle – John Karhoff has been an excellent scorer inside for Omaha this season averaging 11.5 points per game, but he will be facing a bigger center in this one. Corey Petros has a nice average of 13.3 points and 7.7 rebounds and will look to take advantage of his size. We’ll see if the Mavericks can utilize Welhouse and Hagerbaumer at times to double down on Petros and help defend him.

3.) Can someone go off? – You feel like if the Mavericks are going to win this game they need someone to have a monster game. Oakland is a decent offensive team and will probably hang 75+ on Omaha (only four teams haven’t… the Mavericks winning all of those games). To keep up with that kind of scoring Omaha will need either a really balanced attack or a big game from someone. Simmons has averaged 20.5 in his last four games, Carter had 26 on Monday, and Karhoff has gone over 15 five times already this year. Look for one of them to have a big night if the Mavericks want to hang in it.

Prediction
I don’t think Omaha will be able to catch magic again on Thursday and Bader will probably have a big night. Oakland wins fairly comfortably, 80-62. Simmons leads the way with 15.
Massey – Oakland wins 89-70.
RealTimeRPI – Oakland wins 86-62.

Advertisements

Leave a Comment »

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Blog at WordPress.com.

%d bloggers like this: